TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction and Pick: Can TCU Continue Its Dominance?
TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction and Pick: Can TCU Continue Its Dominance?
The TCU Horned Frogs are coming off back-to-back home wins against Texas Tech and Kansas. It's been a ridiculous five-day stretch for the Horned Frogs. However, now they'll be back on the road, facing a Kansas team that they just beat on Tuesday, 74-64. Currently, TCU is rising in bracketology across all major platforms. Meanwhile, Kansas has been sticking around that two slot, despite the loss to Baylor and TCU in back-to-back games.
TCU won't fall with a loss to Kansas, but Kansas probably can't afford two straight losses to TCU, especially one at home, or they'll drop out of being a two-seed.
Here are our picks and predictions for the Big 12 matchup between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Kansas Jayhawks.
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TCU vs Kansas Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: Thursday, March 3, 2022
- Game Time: 8:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: Big 12/ESPN+
Click Here for TCU vs. Kansas odds
TCU vs Kansas Injury Report
TCU
Out: G Maxwell Evans (Undisclosed)
Kansas
Out: G Bob Pettiford (Abdominal)
TCU vs Kansas Line Movement
TCU vs Kansas Prediction
The TCU Horned Frogs are putting together an incredible second half in the Big 12. The Horned Frogs have won three of their last four games with wins over West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Kansas. TCU also has wins against LSU, Oklahoma (twice), Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, and Kansas State. Anyway, the Horned Frogs have a solid resume, but it'll be difficult to win a road game against Kansas in the Fieldhouse.
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The Horned Frogs haven't shot the ball all that well this season, shooting a 48.8 percent effective field goal percentage this season. From long-range, TCU is shooting just 30 percent and from inside, the Horned Frogs have hit 50.6 percent of shots. At the foul line, TCU only knocks down 66.7 percent of attempts and the Horned Frogs also turn the ball over 21.3 percent of the time. Kansas isn't getting to force a whole lot of turnovers, but some of TCU's mistakes are self-inflicted. The only reason why TCU is able to have success is due to the offensive glass. The Horned Frogs are earning 38.6 percent offensive rebounds this season, which leads the entire nation. TCU isn't shooting lights out, but most of the time, TCU is getting more shot attempts and more opportunities to score. Meanwhile, Kansas is holding opponents to a 47.1 percent effective field goal percentage and is holding opponents to 29.6 percent from three and 48.6 percent from inside the arc. Kansas has struggled on the defensive glass, however, allowing 28.8 percent offensive rebounds. So TCU should be able to earn second chances in this game, despite not being projected to shoot well.
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On the offensive end, Kansas is one of the best in the nation. The Jayhawks are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 54.9 percent while earning 34 percent of offensive rebounds of their own. From three, Kansas knocks down 36.3 percent of looks and from inside, Kansas is just as good, scoring 55.1 percent of shots. The Jayhawks limited turnovers to 17.9 percent and get to the line at a higher rate than TCU while hitting 70.8 percent of foul shots. However, TCU's defense shouldn't be taken lightly. The Horned Frogs have been near elite in most categories and hold opponents to 31.7 percent from three and 47.6 percent from inside. It's also much harder to earn offensive rebounds against TCU, as TCU limits offensive rebounds to 25.8 percent. In the first meeting this week, Kansas shot 42.1 percent from three but just 35 percent from inside. And while Kansas earned 12 offensive rebounds, TCU earned 19 offensive rebounds on the other end. The Horned Frogs won that game while shooting just 48.1 percent from inside and 20 percent from outside, on 15 attempts. Again, TCU had more opportunities in the field and made the most of it. Therefore, I'll take TCU getting 11 points.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks Pick
- PICK: TCU +11 (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.