Murray State vs. Morehead State Prediction and Pick: Which Team Will Punch Their Ticket into the NCAA Tournament?

Murray State vs. Morehead State prediction and pick for Saturday's Ohio Valley Conference Championship game. Handicapper Jason Radowitz breaks down his favorite pick for this showdown on ESPN2 on Saturday night.
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Murray State vs. Morehead State Prediction and Pick: Which Team Will Punch Their Ticket into the NCAA Tournament?

This is crazy. Tonight, the NCAA Tournament will be punching its first ticket tonight in the Ohio Valley Conference Championship. The one-seeded Murray State Racers will play the three-seeded Morehead State Eagles to punch a ticket. It's likely that if Morehead State wins, the Ohio Valley Conference would have two teams make the tournament with Murray State going 29-2 in the regular season.

Therefore, teams who are on the bubble are hoping for an easy win for the Racers. Here are our picks and predictions for the Ohio Valley Conference Championship matchup between the Morehead State Eagles and the Murray State Racers.

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Murray State vs. Morehead State State Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN2

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Murray State vs. Morehead State Injury Report

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Murray State vs. Morehead State Line Movement

Murray State vs. Morehead State State Prediction

The Murray State Racers have had an incredible season, going 29-2 on the season. Tonight, the Racers will look for their 30th win of the season in the Ohio Valley Conference Championship.

Murray State has already defeated Morehead State twice this season. At home, Murray State won 77-66, but on the road, Murray State was tested, winning just 57-53. The defense will be a factor in this game. The Racers are holding opponents to a 47.8 percent effective field goal percentage while earning 21.2 percent turnovers on the season. Opponents have shot just 29.8 percent from three and 49.9 percent from inside the arc against Murray State this season. Murray State has also held opponents to just 25.7 percent offensive rebounds and continues to keep teams away from the charity stripe at a consistent rate.

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Morehead State, on the other hand, is turning the ball over 20.6 percent of the time. That and the poor foul shooting are the only two blemishes on Morehead State. The Eagles shoot 35.7 percent from three and 51.6 percent from inside the arc this season. Morehead State is also earning 31.2 percent offensive rebounds, but it'll be harder to get second chances against Murray State's defense.

Defensively, the Eagles have held teams to 32.1 percent from three and 45.7 percent from inside. Just like Murray State, Morehead State is able to limit foul shooting at a high rate. However, Morehead State has struggled on the defensive glass, giving up 29 percent of offensive rebounds. The Eagles also aren't going to force a whole lot of turnovers.

Murray State earns 35.3 percent offensive rebounds and limits turnovers. Those are really the two areas where Murray State can escape Morehead State to win this basketball game.

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The Racers are shooting 34.3 percent from three and 54.2 percent from inside the arc on the year. Those numbers likely will be below their averages tonight, but with extra opportunity from the field, you can expect Murray State to win this game and ultimately cover.

Murray State Racers vs. Morehead State Eagles Pick

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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