Louisiana vs. Georgia State Prediction: Will Louisiana Punch a Ticket with 4 Wins in 5 Days?

Louisiana vs. Georgia State prediction and pick. The Sun Belt Conference Championship Game is sure to be a good one on Monday night. Handicapper Jason Radowitz gives us his prediction and pick for the Louisiana vs. Georgia State showdown.
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Louisiana vs Georgia State Prediction: Will Louisiana Punch a Ticket with 4 Wins in 5 Days?

The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have won three games in four days to reach the SunBelt Championship game as an eight seed. To finish off the SunBelt Championship, Louisiana will take on a Georgia State team that has been an elite defense in the second half of the season. The Georgia State Panthers have already defeated the Ragin' Cajuns twice this season with terrific defense. What do we have in store for tonight's matchup? Here are our picks and predictions for the Sun Belt Championship matchup between the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and the Georgia State Panthers. Looking for the best sportsbook offers available in your state? Click here

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Louisiana vs Georgia State State Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Monday, March 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN2

Click Here for Louisiana vs. Georgia State Chicago Odds

Louisiana vs. Georgia State Injury Report


Questionable: F Kobe Julien (Knee)

Georgia State

Out: C Joe Jones III (Foot)

Louisiana vs. Georgia State Line Movement

Louisiana vs. Georgia State Prediction

The Lousiana Ragin Cajuns were held to 58 points on February 28, on the road, against Georgia State. Earlier this season, it was much of the same, as Louisiana only scored 64 points, at home, on January 27. Georgia State's defense has been on a tear recently, but the offense hasn't been. Georgia State's offense is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 44.8 percent while hitting just 31.3 percent from deep and 43.5 percent from inside the arc. The offense has been good enough due to the Panthers' incredible defense, but ultimately, Louisiana has been very good offensively in the Sun Belt Tournament.

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Offensively for Louisiana, the Ragin' Cajuns are turning the ball over 22.1 percent of the time, which is really the only blemish. Louisiana is earning 33.5 percent offensive rebounds and should end up getting to the line more against Georgia State per the analytics. Louisiana shoots 34.3 percent from deep and 47 percent from inside. Although Louisiana doesn't take a whole lot of threes, the Ragin' Cajuns are selective and smart and should get open looks knowing opponents are shooting 38 percent from deep against Georgia State this season. Georgia State will earn a high amount of turnovers and that should be a legitimate concern for Louisiana. The Panthers are getting 22.9 percent of turnovers per game, however, on the glass, Georgia State is allowing 30.4 percent offensive rebounds. Therefore, Georgia State will limit shot attempts with steals but also allow extra shot attempts and second chances due to poor effort on the defensive glass.

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Meanwhile, Louisiana has held opponents to 31.3 percent from three and 46.6 percent from inside the arc. The Ragin' Cajuns will foul at a high rate but should be able to get many more stops in this game. Plus, Louisiana is better on the defensive glass, holding teams to 27.4 percent offensive rebounds. Ultimately, Louisiana has the better offense and if shots are falling as they've been throughout the tournament, I'd be surprised if Georgia State stuck around with such an inept offense this season.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs. Georgia State Panthers Pick

ROI -12%

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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