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John Hysop takes a look at the college basketball slate and finds a prop play on Pittsburgh vs Boston College for some afternoon fun.
ANALYSIS

Tuesday's College Basketball Best Bets: John Hugley Pours In Points

Let me tell you people a little something about college hoops. It's fun to bet. It just is. Especially this time of year. A little something I think I will like to do is bet player props in the conference tournaments. Mainly the ones on television. I say "think" because player props being offered in every game is relatively new in college hoops. Back in the day, you could likely find someone to take them but not like this. We're literally looking at lines for five or six guys in the major conferences. My dream is someday to bet on a kid from Marist to grab three boards at plus money and it's looking like that dream is trending in the right direction. For now though, I'll take some flyers on kids in the ACC. We don't have anything better to do.

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John Hugley Over 14.5 Points (-102) (Bet $102 to win $100)

This one is sitting at FanDuel as we speak and it's beautiful. I feel like I moved the line with my brain too because I saw it at 13.5 for -140 at DraftKings but didn't want to lay the -140. I'm cheap. I literally said "please be 14.5 at FanDuel for a price I can be proud of" and then bam, there it was. This is meant to be.

If you've never heard of John Hugley before today, that makes two of us. Welcome to the club. But, instead of focusing on the fact that I didn't know this kid, I spent the entire morning going through some old highlights, interviews and box scores. After doing that, I think we can trust him.

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First off, he's only a sophomore so he's probably a different player than he was at the beginning of the season. Kids grow. That's what they do (science). Knowing that, we know that the books really can't price these kids right. There's just too many off games mucking up the algo. You hate to see it really, unless you like winning bets.

Today is do or die for Pittsburgh and if they're going down, they're going down with Hugley and Jamarious Burton taking double digit shot attempts. I like the Burton kid but he's a guard. Even though he's 6'4", he's still a guard and you can't trust a guard when you have a 6'9" forward you could trust instead. That's just basketball science.

On top of the basketball science, we also have stats on our side. Stats matter when they prove your theory. In his last six games, Hugley has scored at least 18 points in five of them. The only time he didn't was when he scored 13 against Notre Dame in only 14 minutes. It also should be noted that he big-boyed Boston College earlier this season with a 32-point showing so he is the alpha on the floor. I think he scores at least 15 today.

Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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