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Championship and Selection Sunday rolled into one. A smaller slate today but we have some great games on the docket. My focus is on the AAC and Big Ten championship games. Let's get to it.

College Basketball Picks: 2 Best Bets for Sunday's Games

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Houston vs. Memphis AAC Championship Final Prediction - 3:15 pm ET

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Houston vs. Memphis Line Movement

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This will be the third matchup between these teams with Memphis winning the first two matchups in rather impressive fashion. In the first matchup, Houston was nearly 10-point favorites at home versus a Memphis team who had been struggling in recent weeks. This game was the start of Memphis's resurgence as they outscored the Cougars 41-28 in the second half and defeated them by 10 points. Fast forward to last week and Memphis took down the Cougars in a blowout as they led by 20 at halftime. These were Houston's two worst games of the season and in those games, Memphis bullied Houston on the boards. Houston's M.O. is to win games with defense, toughness, and solid fundamental basketball. I also do not think Memphis is going to shoot nearly 50% from 3 again as they did in the last meeting.

Houston has been a great defensive team all season as they are currently ranked 12th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 3rd in defensive effective field goal percentage, 12th in defensive 3-point percentage, and 7th in defensive 2-point percentage. Memphis has played much better on offense over the last few months, but turnovers have still been a huge issue for them. They are currently ranked 352nd in the country in offensive turnover percentage so they have still been very careless with the ball. I think Houston will be able to force Memphis into more live ball turnovers which should lead to more transition opportunities for the Cougars today.

Memphis has also been suspect when it comes to defensive rebounding. They are 286th in the country in defensive rebounding percentage while Houston is ranked number 1 in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage. I expect Houston to win the rebounding battle today which should lead to more second-chance opportunities for layups, free throws, and outside shots. With that being said, I am rolling with Houston 1H -1.5 -108 for one of my most confident college basketball picks of the day as I think the Cougars should get off to a good start today.

Houston vs. Memphis Pick

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Purdue vs. Iowa Big Ten Tournament Final Prediction - 3:30 pm ET

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Purdue vs. Iowa Line Movement

This is going to be one of the best games of the weekend, especially if you like offense. Purdue is currently ranked number 1 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and Iowa is right behind them at number 2. Iowa comes into this game after an emotional, double-digit come from behind win versus Indiana as they hit a last second shot to advance.

Iowa has been playing some of their best ball of the season lately as they have been cooking on offense. Iowa has averaged 87.33 points per game over their last 12 games and has been lighting it up from 3. Iowa plays at one of the fastest paces in the country as they are 20th in lowest time of possession at 15.7 seconds. Purdue plays at a relatively slower pace, but they make up for it with efficiency.

Purdue is the number one offense in the country, 3rd in offensive effective field goal percentage 3rd in 3-point percentage, and 13th in 2-point percentage. Purdue has played two relatively hard-nosed defensive teams in the Big Ten tournament thus far as their games against Penn State and Michigan State started fairly slow. The 2H against Michigan State was much more open and fast-paced and think we will see that type of game tonight. Iowa put a hurting on Northwestern with an incredible 112-point performance, scored 84 vs a very tough Rutgers defense, and notched 80 against Indiana who was top 5 in the country in 2-point percentage defense.

I usually don't like to bet on things to happen twice in a row as the last time these 2 teams played it was a shootout, but I just don't see either team struggling to score in this game. With that being said, I am rolling with the 1H OVER 71 at -112 in this matchup for one of my most confident college basketball picks of the day as I think this will be another high scoring matchup between these 2 high powered offenses.

Purdue vs. Iowa Pick

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Article Author


Joey has spent the last 6+ years betting on sports with a focus on basketball and baseball. Basketball is his main focus, and not many people know more about mid-major basketball than him. Whether you need advice on a Saturday night primetime game or a Tuesday night back-alley SWAC/MEAC game, Joey is your man.


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