Purdue vs. Iowa Prediction: Is The Third Time A Charm for Iowa in Big Ten Tournament Final?

Purdue vs. Iowa prediction and pick for Sunday's Big Ten Championship Final game. Handicapper Jason Radowitz breaks down his favorite pick for this showdown on CBS on Sunday afternoon.
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Purdue vs. Iowa Prediction: Is The Third Time A Charm for Iowa in Big Ten Tournament Final?

The Iowa Hawkeyes have been one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning eight of their last nine games. Because of that, Iowa has now reached the finals of the Big Ten. To win the Big Ten, the Hawkeyes will now need to face a familiar foe in the Purdue Boilermakers for a third game time season.

In those first two regular-season matchups, Purdue defeated Iowa by multiple possessions in each game. So, is Purdue too much to handle for Iowa? Here are our picks and predictions for the Big Ten Finals matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Purdue Boilermakers.

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Purdue vs. Iowa Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, March 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: CBS

Click here for Purdue vs. Iowa odds

Purdue vs. Iowa Injury Report

Iowa

No Injuries to Report

Purdue

Out: Brian Waddell (Knee)

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Purdue vs. Iowa Line Movement

Purdue vs. Iowa Big Ten Tournament Final Prediction

The Iowa Hawkeyes will be looking for their first win against Purdue this season. In a game between the two best offenses in the nation, we can truly expect a lot of offensive output today. As of late, the Iowa Hawkeyes are shooting incredibly. Iowa is shooting 37.1% from three and 52.5% from inside the arc. Even at the charity stripe, Iowa is knocking down 75.2% of foul shots. 

Iowa is so good at limiting turnovers too. The Hawkeyes only give the ball away 13.1% of the time and that should stay the same against a Purdue team that isn't a threat to force turnovers. However, on the glass, Iowa is earning 32.5% of rebounds but should be held from getting a bunch of second chances against Purdue.

Purdue is allowing teams to earn 23.6% offensive rebounds on the season and has also limited fouling teams this year. Opponents have had some good looks against Purdue, hitting 33.6% from three and 49.1% from inside the arc. However, again, Purdue limits second chances and foul shots and that's more than enough to help them win games with how great its offense is.

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This elite offense for the Boilermakers is shooting 39.5% from downtown and 56.1% from inside the arc. Plus, Purdue is electric on the offensive glass, earning 34.8% of offensive rebounds. Throughout the year, Purdue has also been getting to the line at a higher rate and even if they hit just 70.4% from the line, the Boilermakers will have more foul shots made.

Now, Purdue won't protect the ball like Iowa but only turns the ball over 17.1% of the time. That's not going to kill the Boilermakers. On the other hand, Iowa is allowing teams to earn nearly 30% offensive rebounds this season. That should actually kill the Hawkeyes.

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I like Purdue to earn more second chances, shoot a higher percentage and get to the line more frequently. So I'll grab Purdue on the moneyline.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Pick

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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