Colorado State vs. Michigan Player Prop: Can David Roddy Defeat Michigan?

Can David Roddy go off for Colorado State? Our guy, Gray Gutfreund makes his selection for the first game of March Madness.
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Colorado State vs. Michigan Player Prop: Can David Roddy defeat Michigan?

David Roddy has led the Colorado State Rams to the best regular season in the program's 118-year history. The third-year wing is an immensely talented offensive threat at the college level and has a knack for showing up in big games. In addition to liking Colorado State over Michigan in the game, I like David Roddy to lead CSU to victory.

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David Roddy Over 19.5 Points @ -120 (Bet $120 to win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*

David Roddy has been cooking ahead of the game that will tip off the first round of the 2022 NCAA tournament. He has at least 20 points in eight of his last 12 games, averaging 21.0 PPG during this stretch.

And, whenever the CSU star plays a sufficient number of minutes, he fills it up. Roddy has finished with 20+ points in 14 of 23 games when seeing at least 32 minutes this season. He played 37 and 38 minutes, respectively, in the Rams' two Mountain West conference tournament games. In the most important game of the season, he should easily clear the 32-minute threshold and push for 36+ minutes of action, as he's playing 35.5 minutes per game over his last 15 games.

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Roddy has also shown an impressive tendency to show up in big games this season when the Colorado State Rams need him most. They've played 9 games against other teams in the tournament field this season. The 250-pound offensive machine scored at least 20 in 6 of these 9 games while dropping at least 17 points in each of the 9 contests.

San Diego State ranked as the 2nd best defense in the country (per KenPom) and held the top spot on the Defensive Rating leaderboard this season. The Aztecs allowed just 57.7 points per game. Roddy played them three times; his scoring totals were 22, 22, and 17 across the three games. If Roddy can find this level of success against what is arguably the nation's top defensive unit, he should be able to against the Wolverines as well.

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Out of the 68 teams in the NCAA Tournament field, Michigan ranked just 47th defensively. The Wolverines faced off against an 18+ PPG scorer nine times in conference play among the Big Ten. They allowed these opponents to hit their season scoring average in 7 of these 9 games.

Number 1 options have thrived against Michigan, and I anticipate it will be no different for David Roddy, the 2022 Mountain West Player of the Year, on Thursday.

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Gray is a massive New York sports fan, and is an NBA & NFL oracle. He’s a passionate writer with a strong background in statistics, and loves putting out player props! You can follow him on Twitter @PropBetGuru.

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