Kansas vs. Miami Best Bet: Will Kansas Start Hot and Reach the Final Four?

Kansas vs. Miami prediction and pick for their Elite 8 showdown by LightningLockz. He gives his pick for this matchup between the Jayhawks and Hurricanes this afternoon at 2:20 pm ET on CBS.
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Kansas vs. Miami Best Bet: Will Kansas Start Hot and Reach the Final Four?

We have talked about all the upsets in this tournament, but what do we have two 2-Seeds in the Final 4 and both could have been 1-Seeds. They technically should have been as Baylor was never a 1-Seed. Still, two 2-Seeds made it, and Kansas is a 1-Seed. Even though UNC is an 8-Seed, they beat the overhyped 1-Seed, so, in the end, the cream rises to the top, and all the upsets are gone. Could Miami and St. Peters crash the party? Sure, but we will look at the first half and end this early, so we don't have to sweat out the end, but odds are we have four blue bloods, and the big boys make it to the Final Four as they always seem to do.

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Kansas vs. Miami Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, March 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: CBS

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Kansas vs. Miami Prediction

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Miami is a fantastic story. This team sucked early in the year and didn't impress anyone. They started the year losing to Central Florida, and then to Dayton by double digits, Alabama by 32 on a neutral court. Yes, we said they lost by 32, but something clicked, and this team figured it out. If we look at their last month of games, they lost a tough one to Duke in the ACC Tournament, and they lost to Virginia Tech by 1. Virginia by 3 (also by 13), Notre Dame by 4, and Florida State when they were healthy by 1 point twice. This is all after the Bama disaster, but those are all good losses and tight games throughout except one. This team could be on a huge winning streak, but they are 22-7 since Bama, and they clicked. It's that simple.

We look at the three teams they beat, and they covered all three ATS in the First Half, but the USC game was just a disaster where USC had 18 turnovers and gave the game away as Miami hit one three-pointer and their best player Wong fouled out. In the Auburn game, it was close. Still, Auburn, who was overrated most of the year, got blown out because they started shooting threes and their three best shooters were 3-20 from the 3-point line, and the Iowa State game, this team was one of the worst offensive teams all year. Iowa State let Miami hit their most threes all year, and they only got four free throws. These are all good teams, but they aren't Kansas.

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Kansas also changed when Remy Martin came back, and it took him some time to get his legs underneath him. Still, he is a senior guard who was a star at Arizona State. In the last five games, he has finally gotten his legs, and Kansas hasn't lost a game, and they were number one without him pretty much all year. In the last few games, he has 23-7-3 and 20-7-4. Add that to Naismith Player of the Year candidate -- Ochai Agbaji, Jalen Wilson, and Christian Braun; this team has weapons coming at you everywhere.

You don't just forget the seasonal numbers, and Miami's were awful on defense as the ACC wasn't the offensive powerhouse they usually are. Miami was 229 in points allowed, 330th in field goal percentage allowed, 288th in 3-pointers allowed, and 230th in rebounding. These are awful stats, and they have improved, but they haven't seen Kansas, who is top 50 in every offensive category and would have been even better with Martin. Martin is the key to this game as Miami runs a four-guard lineup most of the time, and he will have to control this game for Kansas to move on.

Remy Martin has led Kansas this whole tournament in scoring, and he didn't do that all year in three games as the last two are his only 20 point performances. With Remy taking over and all the other weapons, we love this offense and wouldn't be surprised if they are playing for the title. We also can't forget Iowa State shutdown Wong and Moore, two of the best scorers to 0 points in the first half, and three guys scored all 32 first-half points last game. Iowa State had 18 turnovers, just like USC the week before. We don't see Miami doing that to Martin and Kansas as they have had only 17 in the last two games. We feel Kansas can do the same thing to Miami as they did to Providence as they are similar teams, and Providence shot 34% from the field and 17% from the 3-point line. We don't want to sit around all game and see what happened in Providence vs. Kansas, where Providence got hot and even took the lead and ended up losing by 5 with lucky shots and missed free throws to cover the 6 point spread.

Let's get in and out of this game as Kansas has been great the first half all year, so we will lay the 2.5 and hope Kansas can start hot and win by at least 3 in the first half, and then we can enjoy the second half. So let's ride Kansas First Half only -2.5, and then we can also decide if we want any action in the second half. Rock Chalk Jayhawk.

Kansas vs. Miami Pick

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