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Villanova is taking on Kansas for the right to go to the final. Will Kansas be able to cover the spread as a favorite against Nova?
ANALYSIS

Villanova vs Kansas Prediction: Should You Trust Kansas to Cover?

​​Well after 60 games we are down to a number one and a number two seed as the cream rises to the top usually in March Madness after all the upsets make it happen. Villanova is very lucky as they got to avoid the monster that was Arizona and Tennessee as I feel both would have knocked them out and Kansas got to avoid Auburn and Wisconsin as neither got close to playing Kansas in their bracket.

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Villanova vs Kansas Prediction

What matters now is both teams are here and sadly Villanova is missing their second-best player (coach says their best but we disagree as he is just motivating the team) in Justin Moore on a team already lacking depth as they play only six men regularly. 

Villanova and Kansas somehow both have a nine-game winning streak coming into tonight's matchup. With the Moore injury more pressure will be on Caleb Daniels who is going to pretty much replace him and of course Conner Gillespie to play his best game. But, listening to one of the best coaches he knows what's up for tonight. "He's probably our Most Valuable Player," Wright said. "I just want everybody to know I think he's underrated in terms of his value to this team. I think he's truly one of the most complete players in this country, he really is."

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The coach knows what he lost and what he is missing and usually, injuries mean someone else steps up but in this situation, this injury is too much to overcome because their best bench guard didn't even average two points a game. The one thing that will keep Villanova in this game is their free throw shooting but this game is not theirs to win and if they do we will bite the bullet and give the coach and this team their props. 

Kansas is the opposite of Villanova. They got a guy back who has changed this team as Remy Martin has been smoking hot since he came back with a few 20 point games and being a spark plug sixth man off the bench.

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Since he missed most of the year Kansas was this good without him and what they did to Miami in the second half a team who plays similar to Nova says a lot. They clamped down on that team and just blew them out. A close game turned into a big time blowout. Will that happen tonight we don't know but we really don't see Nova giving Kansas a game here and it's up to Kansas if they let them back in as they have a history of doing.

If you watched the Providence game it wasn't close but the score says it was, honestly watching all of the games Kansas hasn't had a tough game yet in this tourney and really not since they beat Texas in overtime almost a month ago.

Kansas has played a tougher schedule and numerous teams like Nova this year and in the tourney as they beat Providence and they beat them by five in a game they were up double digits for most of the game.

With five guys who score double digits including the best player probably on the court in Ochai Agbaji and a deeper bench with senior leadership including six-year man Mitch Lightfoot who was there and remembers the loss to Nova in 2018 that kept them from winning a title so expect some revenge and for Lightfoot to play his best game of the year. 

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Villanova only hit 15 shots last game and if Houston didn't shoot 1-20 (horrendous)  they would be here. Villanova is going to have to rely on their defense versus the Kansas offense and depth and other than the free throw shooting we don't see any advantage for them. We will lay the -4 and expect Kansas to get that revenge from 2018 and play for the title on Monday.

We do have a play on the total so no score but we fully expect Kansas to win this game easily and it will come down to will they finish the game or let Nova get hot and get back in it. With a few games left you just take the better team and hope they play like you expect them to. ROCK CHALK Jayhawks lay the 4 and let's see which ACC team will play Kansas on Monday for the shot at one shining moment.  

Villanova vs Kansas Line Movement

Villanova vs Kansas Pick

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