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Texas Tech plays Iowa State for some late-night college basketball action tonight. Will the Cyclones shut down the Red Raiders? John Hyslop answers.
ANALYSIS

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Prediction: Will the Cyclones Shut Down the Red Raiders?

Texas Tech faces No. 12 Iowa State at home tonight.

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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Monday, January 30, 2023
  • Start Time: 9:00 p.m. EST
  • Where to Watch: ESPN2

Click here for Texas Tech vs. Iowa State odds

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Pick

Texas Tech Team Total Under 64.5 (-104) Bet $100 to collect $196 FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet

We're at FanDuel again for this one since they are hanging a number that is way different than the rest of the market. We're talking way differently. Some of the sharpest books on the planet have this thing at -122, yet we're staring at -104 at FanDuel. That's crazy to me. Even the square books have -122 yet FanDuel is giving almost even money. Not quite, but still damn close. You just love to see it.

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Prediction

From a basketball standpoint, this bet makes a lot of sense as well. I see why the smart books are making their customers pay -122 for this banger. For starters, the Texas Tech offense just isn't good. We're talking like bad. (Bad meaning bad, not bad meaning good.)They are 77th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency according to KenPom which likely won't cut it against a team like Iowa State. The last time they played these guys the Red Raiders only scored 50 points total. That's horrible.

The reason Texas Tech could only muster 50 points against the Iowa State Cyclones last time out was that the Cyclones play defense. Currently, they are ranked 10th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. There are like 350+ teams in the country so that is damn good. On top of that, they play super slow. We're looking at a 64.1 adjusted tempo which is like 314th nationally. Basically, this is a formula for an absolute rock fight with the only chance of points being some kid getting hot. Sure that could happen, but at this price, we have to bet this.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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