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Oklahoma State takes on a tough Baylor team tonight. Can the Cowboys keep their tournament hopes alive? Basketball betting expert Krabs answers.
ANALYSIS

Oklahoma State vs Baylor Prediction: Can the Cowboys Keep Their Tournament Hopes Alive?

Oklahoma State was considered one of the last teams projected to make March Madness last week. After losing to Kansas State over the weekend, the Cowboys' chances are slim. In a must-win game against one of the best teams in the country, will OKST pull off the upset?

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Oklahoma State vs Baylor Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Monday, February 27, 2023
  • Start Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Click here for Oklahoma State vs Baylor odds

Oklahoma State vs Baylor Prediction

Stillwater is one of the toughest venues to play in the entire country. Although the Cowboys have been average at best over the years, they dominate on their home court. They’ve knocked off TCU and Iowa State at home already, and look to add another Q1 win to their resume tonight on national television.

When these teams faced off in January, Baylor dominated OKST in nearly every statistical category. The Cowboys were without their best player in this contest though. Moussa Cisse may not lead his team in points, but he is the most important player on the roster. Cisse’s presence in the paint drastically improves OKST’s chances tonight. Kalib Boone is coming off one of his most efficient games of the season, dropping 18 points and recording three blocks. This team wins with defense. It doesn’t matter how effective the road team’s offense is; when they get to Stillwater, chaos ensues.

With a top 55 defensive rating, Mike Boynton knows his team’s strength and plays to it. They will press and do whatever they can to take Baylor out of their normal rhythm. Although elite, Baylor is known to turn the ball over (averaging 12 turnovers a game, 187th in the nation). If Cisse can lock down the paint, a plethora of athletic guards will strap up the perimeter, causing serious problems for the Bears tonight.

Baylor will be without their best player, Keyonte George, tonight. I typically don’t fade bad news, but this is a significant loss for the Bears. Without their star freshman, Baylor will struggle to find their groove as they did early on in the season. Adam Flagler and LJ Cryer are great, but OKST’s physical guards can keep up with the Baylor backcourt.

Home underdogs have been printing money against ranked teams this college basketball season. Now factor in Oklahoma State’s recent four-game skid and an extremely short line against a top-10 team in the country and you’ve got yourself one of the stinkiest lines of the season. OKST shouldn’t be a one-point underdog tonight even without George. They should be getting more respect coming off a big win against Texas this weekend. Oddsmakers know how difficult it truly is to win games in Stillwater on the road. Tonight the Cowboys will pull off another upset in front of their home crowd, keeping their postseason chances alive.

Oklahoma State vs Baylor Pick

Oklahoma State +1.5 (-110) Bet $100 to collect $190 DraftKings has the best odds, click here to bet

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Article Author

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Krabs is a contrarian bettor who isn’t afraid to fade the public or go against the grain. His betting style not only produces winners but has changed the way many think about the sports betting process. You’ll find Krabs betting on anything from the NFL (at a 60% clip in 2022) to the KBO (8-1-1 in 2022). You won’t find many handicappers with more college basketball knowledge or insight than Krabs. A native of the “DMV,” you can find his work @Krabs_Bets on Twitter, or on Behind the Lines, his daily sports betting show on twitch.

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