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No. 6 Kentucky faces No. 3 Kansas State today on the last day of the Round of 32. Which Wildcat team will advance to the Sweet 16? Ben Rajavuori breaks it down and shares his pick for the game.

Best NCAA Tournament Bets Today: Lock In This Expert's Kansas State vs. Kentucky Round of 32 Best Bet

The NCAA Tournament Round of 32 comes to a close today after a crazy Saturday, and a highly competitive matchup between the No. 6 seeded Kentucky Wildcats and the No. 3 seeded Kansas State Wildcats is the second game of the day to tip. The game takes place in the Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, North Carolina. The winner of this game will advance to the Sweet 16 and take a step closer to the National Championship.

Kansas State vs. Kentucky Prediction

Kentucky opened its NCAA Tournament campaign with a solid win over the Providence Friars, led by Oscar Tshiebwe's impressive 25-rebound performance (yes, 25, you read that right). However, Tshiebwe's rebounding prowess might not have the same impact in this matchup as it did in the first round, where he secured those incredible 25 rebounds.

Kansas State boasts Nae’Qwan Tomlin and Keyontae Johnson, who are both exceptional rebounders and can limit Kentucky's success on the offensive glass. Against Montana State, Kansas State held the Bobcats to just five offensive rebounds, a testament to their ability to limit second-chance opportunities. Although Montana State is not the same matchup as Kentucky, Kansas State showed they could limit second-chance points in the most difficult conference this season in college basketball.

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Kansas State has an experienced squad, with the top three players all being seniors. The Wildcats' offensive firepower comes from Keyontae Johnson, who averages 17.7 points per game and leads the team in rebounding with 7.1 rebounds per game. Markquis Nowell, who scored 17 points and handed out 14 assists in the opening round, is the second-leading scorer with an average of 16.8 points per game and leads the team in assists with an average of 7.8 per game.

Kentucky's offense is centered around Oscar Tshiebwe, who is averaging 16.2 points per game and is the nation's leading rebounder with an average of 13.5 rebounds per game. Antonio Reeves is the second-leading scorer with an average of 14.6 points per game. Kentucky has a good offense, averaging 75.1 points per game and shooting 46.0%. During the regular season, Kansas State allowed an average of 68.7 points per game, while Kentucky allowed an average of 67.6 points per game.

Kentucky is a talented team and has won six of its last eight games, but Kansas State is a more balanced team with a better defense. If Kansas State can limit Kentucky's success on the offensive glass, they should have a good chance of winning this game. Kentucky's defense has been solid, but Kansas State has shown that they can score, putting up an average of 75.8 points per game during the regular season while having better defensive numbers against a tougher schedule.

The key to this game is simple for Kansas State: shut down Tshiebwe. It's easier said than done, but Kansas State should do a better job of this than Providence with more size. Kansas State has more moving parts on offense, and they have shown they can beat the best teams in the nation with this team this year. They have wins over Texas, Kansas, and Baylor, who were all seeded the same or higher than Kentucky. I love getting points with Kansas State in this spot.

Kansas State vs. Kentucky Pick

Pick: Kansas State +2.5 @ (-110) Bet $100 to collect $190 Get the best odds at DraftKings; click here to bet

Kansas State vs. Kentucky Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:40 pm ET
  • Arena: Greensboro Coliseum
  • Where to Watch: CBS

Kansas State vs. Kentucky Odds

  • Spread: Kentucky -3 (-103) | Kansas State +3 (-110)
  • Total Odds: 144.5 (O (-105), U (-110)
  • Moneyline: Kentucky (-150) | Kansas State (+145)

Click here for Kansas State vs. Kentucky odds

Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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