UFC Fight Night Preview and Parlay: Curtis Bayldes vs. Chris Daukaus

Ben Rajavuori is here to preview the Saturday UFC Fight Night Curtis Bayldes vs. Chris Daukaus card. He is eyeing this 3-leg parlay.
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UFC Fight Night Preview and Parlay: Curtis Bayldes vs. Chris Daukaus

The UFC heads back over the pond but not to the Apex. Instead, they will be in the Nationwide Center in Columbus, Ohio. This heavyweight main event features Curtis Blaydes (15-3) trying to notch back-to-back wins and Chris Daukaus (12-4), who is coming off a knockout loss to Derrick Lewis after starting 4-0 in the UFC. So what is the best bet/s on this card?

As many of the usual readers know, parlays are quite common among UFC cappers. With no spread, it can be difficult to bet fighters you like to win without having to eat juice in the process. Parlays can help take out the juice by piecing together a few of your favorite plays, which is what I have here today.

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UFC Fight Night Curtis Blaydes vs Chris Daukaus Parlay

Leg 1: Curtis Blaydes/Chris Daukaus Under 2.5 Rounds (-125)

Click Here for Blaydes vs Daukus Odds

Let's be honest, this is a heavyweight fight, which already favors our under here. Add in the fact that Chris Daukaus hasn't seen the third round in a UFC fight, and I love it even more. In fact, in sixteen professional fights for Daukaus, he has seen the third round one time in a decision win over Jeffrey Blachly back in 2015. Blaydes is a wrestler, so the game plan is simple for Daukaus; keep it standing.

Daukaus has yet to be taken down in the UFC, although he hasn't had much time to; regardless, he has shown good takedown defense. I expect at least some good chunks of action on the feet, even if Blaydes does manage to land one or two takedowns. Daukaus was taken down in the regional scene, but his training has become more versatile since joining the UFC. Blaydes is maybe the best wrestler in the division, but it doesn't take much to land a knockout in the heavyweights. Also, if Blaydes does land a takedown early, there's a good chance he could finish it there since Daukaus is not a grappler.

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Leg 2: Ilir Latifi ML (-210)

Click Here for Aleksei Oleinik vs Ilir Latifi Odds

Aleksei Oleinik (59-16-1) is 44 years old. Not only 44, but in the hardest-hitting division in fighting. It's safe to say his body may be giving out on him. He's on a three-fight losing streak and has had 76 professional fights. Ilir Latifi (16-8) is no young gun himself at 38 years old, but he's only had 24 professional fights and has been in much fewer wars. Oleinik simply is losing it. The man is a veteran, and he has my respect, but his cardio and body are fading.

Maybe if this fight were against a striker, I would take Oleinik to get him down and sub him as he does in almost all his wins (46 of his 59 wins are by submission). However, Latifi is more than comfortable on the ground and has never been subbed since he is also a talented Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu artist. Latifi grinds on his opponents and has gone to decision a surprising amount of times for a heavyweight. This fighting style is not built for Oleinik at this point in his career. Latifi will either hammer Oleinik on the ground for a late finish or pick up a unanimous decision win.

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Leg 3: Max Griffin ML (+230)

Click Here for Max Griffin vs Neil Magny Odds

It's weird to put an underdog with this high of odds in a parlay, but this is my favorite underdog on the card, and it will boost the odds significantly. Neil Magny (25-9) is almost more of a gatekeeper now. He's actually never had a title shot, but he's #9 right now and has always been that next step for fighters to move forward. Enter Max Griffin (18-8). Griffin is on a three-fight win streak and most recently won a unanimous decision over former interim champion Carlos Condit. Griffin started just 3-6 in the UFC, but then switched camps, got a new mental coach, and has gone 3-0 since.

Griffin is an impressive striker with power. Magny's path to winning tonight is to take Griffin down. Griffin is the more powerful striker, and if they start getting into prolonged striking encounters, Magny will get clipped. However, Griffin has nasty leg kicks that he can utilize to keep Magny at a distance and thwart off takedown attempts. Griffin landed 28 of 31 leg kicks against Condit, and it was ultimately how he won that fight. I think the odds are too high here for a prospect on the rise. Griffin is my favorite dog play here, and I think he gets it done.

UFC Fight Night Parlay Picks

3-Leg Parlay Odds (+776) (Bet $100 to Win $776)

  • Leg 1: Curtis Blaydes/Chris Daukaus Under 2.5 Rounds (-125)
  • Leg 2: Ilir Latifi Moneyline (-210)
  • Leg 3: Max Griffin Moneyline (+230)

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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