UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins, Lando Vannata vs. Charles Jourdain

Ben Rajavouri breaks down the bouts between Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins and Lando Vannata vs. Charles Jourdain. He shares his best bets for UFC Fight Night.
| 5 mins read
Share
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

From the outside, this looks like a boring card with a lot of low-level, unranked fighters. To be honest, it mostly is, but to us bettors, this card has a few great spots to make money on tomorrow night. These smaller, lesser-known cards usually have more value, honestly, since fighters with bigger names on bigger cards have higher price tags since betting volume is heavier on title cards. Nevertheless, there are a few prime spots I'm eyeing for tomorrow. As far as the main event goes, I think Andrade will win, but it's not worth a bet with the -200 price tag associated with Andrade. Instead, I'm looking to the early prelims and the first fight on the main card for the most value.

Click here for Complete UFC Odds

 logo
Bet $5, Win $100 on the NBA in Virginia
  • Bet $5, Get $100
  • Promo Code WIN100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
T&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NBA Playoffs
  • NBA Playoff Exclusive
  • 30/1 odds
  • Boosted odds on your team winning!

Claim Your $150 Now
T&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now
T&Cs

Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins Prediction

Talk about a blink-and-you'll-miss-it fight. Marcin Prachnio (15-5) is perhaps the most aggressive light heavyweight in the division, and he wastes no time once the cage closes. His aggression has paid off in his last two bouts, coming off back-to-back wins, but he started 0-3 in the UFC, all three losses by knockout. His average fight time over his five UFC fights has been six minutes, and that's with one decision bringing that average up. He's only been out of the second round in five of his twenty professional fights. Prachnio gets in your face early and doesn't back up. This aggression has cost him, and I think it will tomorrow night as well.

Bet up to $1,000 RISK FREE with FanDuel

Philipe Lins (14-5) is a lifetime heavyweight who is dropping a weight class for this one. I love this change for Lins. His hand speed and movement are incredible, and his most significant setback has been that his heavyweight opponents have usually all been the more powerful striker. With a drop to light heavyweight, Lins should have more success. Lins is an exceptional counter striker, and it's one of the strongest parts of his game. This opens up multiple opportunities against a fighter like Marcin Prachnio. Prachnio is essentially always on his front foot and leaves his chin up high, basically asking you to knock him out. With a striker as quick and skilled as Lins, he should be able to land a counter shot for a knockout on Prachnio. However, there is still the chance that Prachnio catches him early in his aggression, and Lins has four of his five losses by knockout. Both guys can be cracked, and I think it will be Prachnio tomorrow, but I'm taking the under here as well as Lins by knockout.

Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins Picks

If you're in need of the best sportsbook promos available, you've come to the right place

Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Win $200 on the MLB
  • Deposit $5 into your new DraftKings account
  • Bet on any MLB Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team wins

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

Lando Vannata vs. Charles Jourdain Prediction

Lando Vannata (12-5-2) is a UFC veteran who hasn't been able to notch back-to-back victories since joining the UFC. He will aim to end that streak by beating Charles Jourdain (12-4-1) tomorrow night. This is a classic striker versus wrestler matchup, and I usually tend to favor wrestler in these matchups, but not this time.

Get a $1,100 Risk Free Bet with Caesars

Charles Jourdain has one goal to win this fight: keep it standing. If Vannata lands a takedown early, I think this one is likely to go his way, but Jourdain has a few advantages to keep this from happening, the first being his leg kicks. Jourdain utilizes his leg kicks frequently and often, which will create problems for Vannata. If he can beat up Vannata's legs early, it will give him an advantage against Vannata's takedown threat by weakening his legs. Also, Jourdain often switches stances, making him hard to read and more challenging to enter. It's a lot easier to shoot a takedown when a guy isn't moving as much and is less predictable. Jourdain is not that guy. He has excellent cardio and switches stances, making it harder for Vannata to read his movements and shoot a takedown.

I expect Jourdain to be able to keep this fight on the feet, and if he does, he can pester and pick away at Vannata en route to a victory. He has the more versatile attacks on the feet and is also the higher volume striker. Vannata's path to victory is getting Jourdain down, but I expect Jourdain will be too much for him here. I would lean Jourdain to win by decision as Vannata has only been finished once, but the moneyline is safer with not too much juice attached. Back the slight favorite.

Lando Vannata vs. Charles Jourdain Pick

Click here for the best offers in your state

ROI 2%
NCAABBoxing/MMAMLBNHL
insightpicks

Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.