UFC Fight Night Prediction: Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade Parlay

UFC Fight Night Prediction: Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade Parlay

It's time for the weekly UFC parlay, and boy, do I love this one. As I mentioned in the straight bets article, this card is not much for UFC fans. No disrespect to Amanda Lemos or Jessica Andrade, but this card is underwhelming. However, for us bettors, we can make the most out of nothing, and there is a prime parlay for this card. Let's get right into it.

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Leg 1: Jessica Andrade ML

I wouldn't recommend a bet on Andrade as a straight bet because of the odds, but she's a good parlay booster. Jessica Andrade (22-9) has an extensive UFC resume and now faces Amanda Lemos (11-1-1), who is riding a hot five-fight win streak entering this bout. Lemos is coming off a very questionable split decision victory over Angela Hill, a fight in which 72% of fans voted for Hill as the winner.

The Reason I like Andrade here is that Lemos won't be able to show her anything she hasn't seen before. Andrade has fought nearly everyone, it feels like, and has a massive experience edge here. The most significant advantage for Lemos tonight will be her power. However, Lemos seems to have a power and volume drop-off outside of the first round. Her cardio tails off as the fight goes, and this is her first five-round fight in the UFC. Andrade has only been knocked out once outside of a title fight in her 20 UFC fights. Andrade has experience in five-round fights and has shown she can fight hard for a full five. This is Andrade's fight to lose outside of a quick first-round finish for Lemos.

Leg 2: Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins Doesn't Go the Distance

In our straight bets article, I broke down my reasoning for liking both Philipe Lins to win by knockout and the under-two rounds line. The under is my favorite bet overall for tonight, so naturally, I am putting a little more juice on the fight to finish inside the distance in the article.

Marcin Prachnio (15-5) is an offensive warrior. He moves forward and throws all he has, showing little regard for defense. He leaves his chin high in the process. This has led to his first three knockout losses in his first three bouts in the UFC and his knockout win his last time out. Prachnio has gone to the scorecards in just four of his 20 professional fights and only once in his five UFC fights. Philipe Lins (14-5) will have no problem with the fight Prachnio brings him.

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Lins is a counter-striker who is most comfortable off his back foot. He patiently waits for the right shot. All eight of Lin's last eight wins have been by finish. He isn't bulletproof either, and four of his five losses as a professional have come by knockout. This is also going to be Lins's first fight at light heavyweight. He drops from heavyweight in this bout, and I like the move for him. He had swift hands and technical striking as a heavyweight, which will only amplify with less weight to carry around.

Someone is getting their lights shut out in this one. Lins is too accurate a striker not to land a few hard shots on Prachnio's chin as he is pressing forward, but Prachnio is an aggressive fighter who may be able to overwhelm Lins early. Either way, I would be surprised to see this fight reach the scorecards.

Leg 3: Aori Qileng ML

Aori Qileng (18-9) has started 0-2 in the UFC against two formidable opponents and will look to notch his first victory in the promotion tonight against Cameron Else (10-5). Else also has not secured a win in the promotion yet after suffering a second-round loss to Kyler Phillips in his debut. Despite dropping both of his UFC fights so far, Qileng has been competitive in both, and both of his past two opponents were tougher opponents than Else, in my opinion. No offense to Else, but he doesn't have the resume that Qileng does, except for fighting Kyler Phillips, who dominated and finished him.

Both men are aggressive and like to push the pace. However, Qileng is better at maintaining that style for the full fifteen minutes. All ten of Else's wins have come in the first round, which is impressive, but he's a different fighter outside of the first. Qileng hasn't been finished in his past 14 fights and has never been finished in the first because he has excellent movement and is durable. Despite both men being aggressive fighters, I think this fight isn't settled in the first, which gives the advantage to Qileng. Qileng has fought the tougher schedule and is the more complete fighter. Else's finishes came against cans. Give me Qileng as an excellent parlay booster.

UFC Fight Night Picks

3-Leg Parlay @ +205 (Bet $100 to win $205)

• Leg 1: Jessica Andrade ML
• Leg 2: Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins Doesn't Go the Distance
• Leg 3: Aori Qileng ML