UFC 275 Prediction: Tail This 3-Leg +256 Parlay From Our UFC Expert

UFC 275 Prediction: Tail This 3-Leg +256 Parlay From Our UFC Expert

Taking parlays is almost necessary at times when betting on UFC since there are no spreads, and as a result, it can be difficult to avoid juice. Every week, I like to take some of my favorite bets that are too juicy to play separately and throw them in a parlay for plus odds. I have my favorite plays wrapped up nicely in a --- parlay below. Let's dig right in.

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Leg 1: Teixeira/Prochazka - Fight Doesn't Start Round 4 (Finishes within 3) @ -260

This bet is almost self-explanatory. Even at 42, Glover Teixeira is still a finisher and has finished five of his last six wins. Jiri Prochazka is one of the most powerful and accurate strikers in the UFC. Jiri Prochazka has finished 27 of his 28 professional wins, 25 coming by knockout. Jiri has ten straight knockout finishes in his last ten fights. Both men possess the power and finishing ability to end this one early.

This fight has two outcomes, in my opinion. Glover is 42 years old. He is facing one of the most potent finishers we have seen in the light heavyweight division. Jiri's striking heavily outweighs Glover's, and with his age, Jiri can likely find Glover's chin early. However, if Glover gets Jiri to the ground, this one could end with a tap early as well. Glover is the most skilled grappler Jiri has faced, and I don't think Jiri has enough experience against skilled grapplers to survive long in any situation on the ground or in the clinch. There is a minimal chance we see the championship rounds in the main event.

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Leg 2: Shevchenko/Santos Ends Inside the Distance @ -108

I'm honestly surprised by these odds. Valentina Shevchenko has finished four of her six title defenses. She is known for her overwhelming and suffocating pressure that forces her opponents to crumble. Taila Santos comes into this fight as someone who could rival Shevchenko's pressure and power. Santos has 12 first-round finishes in her 19 wins. Yes, 11 were on the regional scene, but it proves her aggression and hunger to finish rights early. Not many women in the UFC have 11 first-round finishes on their record. This will both help and hurt Santos, depending on if it works or not.

Just six months ago, we saw Amanda Nunes lose her belt to an aggressive fighter. Could part of it be that Nunes is getting older? Maybe not. It could have just been an off night for Nunes, but it makes you wonder. Both Nunes and Shevchenko are 34 years old, and at some point, the age will show. Maybe that was a factor for Nunes, and maybe it could be for Shevchenko. Shevchenko has yet to show this decline and took care of Murphy in the fourth round, but at some point, it will. Could that be tonight? Who knows. All I'm saying is Taila Santos is the same blueprint of a hungry and aggressive fighter, the same type of fighter that it will take to finally upset the dominant champ, just like Julianna Pena.

Either way, Santos is not winning by decision if she does win. She will have to get Shevchenko out of there early, and she knows that. I think we see Santos come out aggressive, which either gives her the underdog win or Shevchenko will finish her once she tires. Santos has never fought five rounds, so if this hits the championship rounds, it could be another late finish for Shevchenko.

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Leg 3: Brendan Allen ML @ -300

Brendan Allen is my favorite unranked fighter in the Middleweight division. He is showing vast improvements besides two hiccup knockout losses to Chris Curtis and Sean Strickland, which are his only two losses in the UFC. Both those opponents had something that Malkoun definitely does not have, and that's a skilled striking game. Jacob Malkoun is an underwhelming fighter who relies on clinch time and the judges. Malkoun fights in arguably the most boring style, where he works you up against the fence and will attempt to hold you there for 15 minutes to secure a decision win. He has averaged 6.93 takedowns over his first three UFC fights, but this fight brings a new challenge, as Allen is the best grappler and arguably the strongest fighter overall that Malkoun will have faced. Allen is better everywhere in this fight, and he won't allow Malkoun to clinch with him against the fence for long like Malkoun has been doing to his previous opponents. Allen can win this fight anywhere, in my opinion, and should take this fight convincingly.

UFC 275 Picks

3-Leg Parlay @ +256 (Bet $100 to win $256)

• Leg 1: Teixeira/Prochazka - Fight Doesn't Start Round 4 (Finishes within 3) @ -260
• Leg 2: Shevchenko/Santos Ends Inside the Distance @ -108
• Leg 3: Brendan Allen ML @ -300