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UFC expert and handicapper Ben Rajavuori is here with his prediction and pick for Saturday's preliminary fight between Dwight Grant vs. Dustin Stoltzfus. He has two bets you should lock in before Saturday's event kicks off on ABC 3.

Dwight Grant vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Prediction: Will Dustin Stoltzfus Dominate at UFC on ABC 3?

UFC Fight Night Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

When: July 16

Time: 2:00 PM EDT

Where: UBS Arena, Elmont, NY

Where to Watch: ABC & ESPN+

Click Here for Complete UFC Fight Night Odds

Two men who are likely fighting for their jobs in the UFC will meet inside the octagon in Long Island tonight when Dwight Grant and Dustin Stoltzfus touch gloves. Grant is 11-5 with a 3-4 record in the UFC and is coming off back-to-back losses, most recently getting knocked out by Sergey Khandozhko. Stoltzfus is 13-4 and has yet to secure a win in the UFC. Stoltzfus entered the UFC with a 13-1 record but has not been able to translate his skills into a win inside the promotion. Who has the advantage in this fight and will ultimately keep their job?

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Dwight Grant vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Prediction

Dwight Grant is a striker fighting out of Alliance MMA. Grant is now 37 years old, and it doesn't appear that he'll be fighting for a title any time soon. His biggest upside is his power. Grant throws heavy 1-2's and switches stances effectively, but that's about it. He is still unpolished and has a horrible gas tank. Grant is a good striker for about the first five minutes of the fight, but outside of that, his skill drops off as he tires. However, seven of his eleven wins have come by knockout, so it works for him, at least sometimes. If it weren't for a split decision win over Stefan Sekulic, Grant would be on a four-fight losing streak and 2-5 in the UFC. He's also had split decision losses, which stems from his explosive first rounds that tend to slow as the fight progresses, making it a close fight that is hard to judge. This kind of fight is one that Dustin Stoltzfus can win.

Dustin Stoltzfus, on the surface, appears to be a bust with an 0-3 record in the UFC. However, he has fought three very difficult fighters, including a UFC debut against Kyle Daukaus. Stoltzfus is a well-rounded fighter with five wins by submission and good hands. The one thing in common with all three of Stoltzfus' UFC opponents is that they have all been grapplers, which explains his back-to-back submission losses. Stoltzfus is probably much happier to finally face a striker, someone he can be the better grappler against. Stoltzfus also has excellent cardio, and I believe that is one of the key elements in this fight that can finally lead to Dustin getting his hand raised for the first time in the UFC.

Stylistically, this is the best matchup Stoltzfus has had in the UFC. He is finally the better grappler, and he also has a much better gas tank. If Grant were to win this fight, I would say his only chance is a knockout in the first round, but Stoltzfus has an excellent chin and has never been knocked out. Stoltzfus also starts slow, so I doubt he will engage in a war early, which means he can outlast Grant's gas tank before he starts pulling away on the scorecards. I wouldn't be surprised to see Dustin shoot an early takedown, either, in an attempt to tire Grant out quicker. Either way, after the first round, Dustin should have the advantage pretty much anywhere the fight goes. Although his main path to a finish is a submission, I wouldn't be surprised to Dustin land a knockout here, as he did in the contender series. Grant has two knockout losses in his last four fights, and the prop line for Stoltzfus to land a knockout is highly inflated. Take Dustin to get his hand raised finally.

Dwight Grant vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Pick

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Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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