Odds format
United States
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
Alas, we get to the main event of UFC 279, Khamzat Chimaev against Nathan Diaz. How long will this fight last? Lightning Locks answers.

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Prediction, Pick, Odds: How Long Will the UFC 279 Main Event Last?

Alas, we get to the main event of UFC 279, Khamzat Chimaev against Nathan Diaz, a fight that no one really asked for but was granted regardless and with tumultuous reception as it continues to March its way bit by bit onto this coming Saturday Night and then the history books for eternity. The legend of Nate Diaz does not require any introduction in the slightest if you are an adamant consumer of the UFC, but I'll give a layman's perspective/lowdown on the matter regardless for the uninitiated folk. 

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Saturday, September 10

Start Time: 10:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: PPV

Click Here for Chimaev vs Diaz Odds

Error fetching data.

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Prediction

Fighting out of Stockton California for nearly two decades, Nate Diaz is an MMA pioneer of octagon brawling and psychological warfare in and outside the cage. He was the first human to defeat Conor Mcgregor inside of the UFC, culminating in one of the biggest combat sports upsets of all time, unequivocally being the most high-profile industry disruption in the entire being of MMA and only Buster Douglas standing to rival its betting insanity all the way on the other side of the pond in boxing more than 25 years ago.  

Besides playing the Ultimate Spoiler in the Ultimate Fighting Championship. Diaz has had his fair share of more "normal" accolades throughout his time in the promotion as well. Absolutely demolishing his competition during his seasonal run of the Ultimate Fighter and winning it outright, Diaz would then use that prestigious honor to catapult his career for the next sequence of years, tying other greats like Frankie Edgar and Edson Barboza for the all-time fight of the night bonus recipients, as well as ranking high in the submission of the night all-time winners and capping it off with a one-time performance of the night bonus were it mattered, against the aforementioned Conor McGregor. 

It is because of his goings-on with the Notorious one, however, that his career and fighting prime stagnated and ultimately perspired, as long stretches of inactivity and probable injuries lead him to be far away from the sport and on the sidelines for a disgusting amount of time. Even though at 37 Diaz isn't exactly the eldest and washed a fighter has ever been in the Octagon, it's an absolute death sentence for someone not regularly fighting and is perhaps distracted from his otherworldly amount of fame and media obligations that had originated following his gargantuan win in 2016. He takes on the next biggest prospect Dana White has to offer in the form of Khamzat Chimaev. 

Immigrating from the depths of hell by way of Chechnya and later Sweden, "Borz's" run inside the cage has been nothing short of immaculate, literally not receiving a single, significant blow from an opponent until he was 3 fights deep with the fighting promotion. He too has had a bout of inactivity, infamously retiring from competition after a rough bout of covid during 2020.

As Chimaev decided to keep going, however, the fire in his belly only magnified 10fold and because of it, every single time he's subsequently out there he executes a performance more ruthless and aggressive than the one prior. Even against the No. 2 in the world Gilbert Burns, he displayed insane heart and experience above his years, battering him from pillar to post and proving to the world that he can go deep into fights and not get discouraged when the going gets tough.

So ultimately who wins this bout, the Diaz brother from Stockton on his way to the metaphorical MMA retirement home fighting out the last fight on his contract, or the prospect that can only be described by some as the next  Khabib but with superior striking and length. 

While it would be awesome to go back to the well and play Diaz one last time, I just can't bring myself to it as you have to separate your emotions with your bets and strategy in order to actually have a functional ROI. The fact of the matter is that this is an inhuman mismatch by Dana and his goons in an effort to discredit Diaz and lower his stock as much as humanly possible before he leaves the company for good. 

While for sure a slimeball move in my book, it is a move that is calculated and tactical when it's all said and done, vindictively orchestrated in order to leave the UFC coming out on top with the unruly death of an old, senile employee and the christening of the most white-hot commodity the sport has ever seen. Since the moneyline on Khamzat is far from being remotely playable, utilize the under 2.5 to unchalk the odds and provide some actual betting value, as there's no way this fight goes past two rounds unless Khamazat himself has a bet on the over. 

Play the under 2.5 and profit big on Stockton's own Nate Diaz's demise.

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Pick

BET - under 2.5 -180 (Bet $180 to win $100)

Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page

Error fetching data.

Article Author


Need a pick for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, or basically any other sport? Lightning Locks has you covered with a history of accurate picks for each sport.


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.