Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Prediction, Pick, and Odds: Can Dumont Make A Statement at UFC 279?

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Prediction, Pick, and Odds: Can Dumont Make A Statement at UFC 279?

After the craziest fight week of the year, we have arrived at fight day for UFC 279 with a few new fights but no new faces. However, the prelims have remained intact, and there is one fight that has stuck out to me all week. This pick takes us to the fourth fight of the night, where Norma Dumont takes on UFC newcomer Danyelle Wolf. Let's break down my prediction, pick, and odds for Norma Dumont vs Danyelle Wolf at UFC 279.

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Saturday, September 10

Start Time: 6:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click Here for Dumont vs Wolf Odds

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Prediction

Dumont enters this fight off a loss to Macy Chiasson. That fight was a split decision and was close because of six takedowns landed by Macy to help her win the fight by a thin margin. Dumont will certainly not be afraid of takedowns in this fight, as she takes on Danyelle Wolf, a boxer turned mixed martial artist.

Danyelle Wolf is 1-0 in her MMA career, winning over Taneisha Tennant in the fourth season of Dana White's Contender Series. That fight was two years ago, so her lack of octagon experience will only be amplified by time off in this bout. Dumont has fought four times since then, going 3-1 in those four.

Dumont was gaining momentum in the UFC as she rattled off a three-fight win streak after losing her debut to Megan Anderson. Dumont is a range striker with a vast arsenal of attacks on the feet. She has excellent movement, always staying light on her feet and landing side kicks from a distance. She is excellent at entering the pocket to land her strikes, then moving out of range before her opponents can land. Dumont has outlanded each of her UFC opponents since her loss to Megan Anderson. She only lost to Chiasson because of the threat of the takedown.

In this fight, she will have no worry about Wolf taking her down, which should allow her to be free on her feet with her mind free from the takedown threat. In fact, I expect Dumont to force a grappling affair in this fight. Wolf isn't trained enough to be comfortable in a grappling scenario with a UFC-level opponent yet. Dumont does have two submission wins on her record, albeit on the regional scene, but she does have sneaky good grappling that could come in handy against the boxer.

Wolf's biggest defensive hole on the feet is defending kicks. It makes sense because Wolf was a boxer for so many years and now transitions to MMA in her late 30s. Wolf will be 40 next year, and it may be too little too late. Wolf has an excellent striking approach when she is firing from the pocket, but the difficult thing for Wolf in this fight will be getting it there. If Wolf tries to push forward too much, Dumont will grapple with her and likely take her down.

Ultimately, it appears Dumont should have the advantage everywhere in this fight. If Wolf closes the distance, Dumont can't grapple with her and will likely submit her. If Wolf boxes from a distance, Dumont can pick her apart with her side kicks. On the ground, Dumont has a clear advantage. Against the fence, Dumont should also be the more powerful fighter. I don't see a clear path to victory for Wolf, and the odds seem about right, but it's too much juice to back. Therefore, I am going with Dumont to get Wolf to tap out. Wolf will make a defensive mistake sooner or later, and Dumont will capitalize.

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Pick

Pick: Dumont Wins by Submission @ +370 (Bet $100 to win $370)

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