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UFC 281 is tonight in New York at Madison Square Garden. Ben Rajavuori shares his best double chances bets on the loaded UFC 281 card.
ANALYSIS

UFC 281 Predictions: Best Double Chance Bets on this Loaded Card

When it comes to betting on UFC, the best way to profit long-term is by betting props. Sometimes, when there are two favorable outcomes in a single fight, you can get value by playing two opposing UFC fighters' prop bets. That's exactly what we're doing in this article.

Double Chance 1:

Matt Frevola by Submission @ +650 Bet $100 to collect $750.

Ottman Azatair by KO/TKO in Round 1 @ +320 Bet $100 to collect $420

These two bets cover the only two ways I see this fight going. Yeah, Frevola could win by decision, but if this fight gets to the third round, Frevola will be all over Azatair. Ottman is a fast starter and has finished 12 of his 13 fights. 10 of his 13 wins have come in the first round. On the other side, two of Frevola's three losses have come by first-round knockout. His chin is questionable, but if his defense can hold up in this fight, he is the much better grappler who has the better gas tank and can take advantage of those attributes the later this fight goes.

Frevola is prone to slow starts and usually takes a round to get going. Therefore, Azatair is most dangerous in the first round, where he has done the most damage throughout his career. Outside of the first, Frevola starts to gain momentum and heat up. His grappling gives him a solid edge in this fight if Azatair can't knock him out early, and he could take it to the scorecards, but I like him to find the submission late.

Double Chance 2:

Brad Riddell by KO/TKO @ +300 Bet $100 to collect $400

Renato Moicano by Submission @ +300 Bet $100 to collect $400

This one may seem like a longshot for Riddell, considering his last five wins have come by decision, but he is a clean and technical striker that will have a sizeable advantage on the feet tonight. He is also a great counter-wrestler, which will play directly against Moicano's strengths. Riddell fights out of City Kickboxing and trains with some of the best strikers in the world, including Israel Adesanya.

Half of his wins have come by knockout, and while he hasn't scored one in a while, the rowdy crowd at Madison Square Garden should give him the adrenaline boost to finish it on the feet if Moicano can't get him on the ground. However, if Moicano CAN get him down, this fight will get ugly quickly. Moicano is a highly-potent Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu artist who has notched nine of his 16 wins by submission. His opponent, Brad Riddell, has lost two of his three fights by submission, including his last time in the octagon against Jalin Turner.

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Moicano's chin has been crackable ever since he joined the UFC, so the chances will be there for Riddell to finish this fight on the feet, but if he gets Riddell down, it's only a matter of time before Riddell is tapping.

Article Author

NCAABBoxing/MMAMLBNHL

Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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