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Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev during UFC 282 for what's expected to be an exciting bout. Handicapper WeBeatTheSpread breaks it down with his Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev prediction, pick, and odds.
ANALYSIS

Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Prediction, Pick, Odds: Who Will Claim Title at UFC 282?

Light Heavyweights Magomed Ankalaev and Jan Blachowicz will square off in the octagon to decide who will get gold around their waist after the fight. The fight will take place in T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The oddsmakers have the Dagestani favored at -270, as the comeback on Blachowicz is +220. Can Blachowicz get UFC gold around his waist once again? Or is it Ankalaev's time?

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Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Start Time, Where To Watch, and Odds

  • When: Saturday, December 10, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 PM EDT/7:00 p.m. PDT
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Where to Watch: PPV

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Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Prediction

Jan Blachowicz was at one point a UFC champion, most recently a year ago before he fought Glover Teixeira and lost. He earned the belt back in 2020 when he stopped Dominick Reyes in the second round. He then made a title defense against the then middleweight fighter stepping up a weight class, Israel Adesanya. After he lost the belt, he defeated Aleksandar Rakic by stoppage in the third round back in May, and that win got him back in this spot to regain the belt.

Magomed Ankalaev has been a machine since entering the UFC. The lone blemish on his record came in his UFC debut against Paul Craig, and since then, it has been non-stop success for the Dagestani. He is 9-0 since dropping his debut with five stoppage wins, improving his overall professional record to 18-1.

There are advantages and arguments for both sides in this fight, despite the wide odds. Blachowicz has been fighting at the highest level for years now, and he has multiple title fights under his belt, bringing him a plethora of experience in this fight. Blachowicz has been fighting in almost exclusively main events scheduled for five rounds for the past three years, while this will be just the second time Ankalaev has been scheduled for five rounds. Jan has gone five rounds for the belt and won, which he may have to do here against someone as tough to put away as Ankalaev. Ankalaev has yet to be knocked out in 19 fights, and he has fought hard hitters like Ion Cutelaba, Volkan Oezdemir, and Thiago Santos, all of whom are arguably more powerful hitters than Blachowicz.

The Advantage in this fight for Ankalaev is most definitely his power. Unlike other Dagestani fighters, Ankalaev is most dangerous on the feet, proven by his ten knockout wins. In his ten UFC fights, he has knocked out five opponents, and part of his ability to put people away is his incredible endurance and chin. Ankalaev has a granite chin, and he seems almost impossible to knock out, which gives him the ability to press forward with constant pressure without the fear of his opponent doing more damage to him than he can do to them. This pressure has gotten to some of the best in the division and has set up his date with the former champ.

Jan Blachowicz may arguably be the toughest fight for Ankalaev to date. Ankalaev has knocked off some of the greats in the division, but Blachowicz has proven a tough test for anyone. The reason I am siding with Ankalaev in this one is his ability to eat a shot and his youth. Ankalaev is still only 30 years old, and he is most definitely in his prime. Blachowicz, on the other hand, is almost 40 years old and is arguably out of his prime, even though he did hold the belt just a year ago. Still, that age gap gives Ankalaev even more of an edge when it comes to finishing the fight because his chin has proved to be nearly uncrackable. Blachowicz has also had a good chin throughout his career, but with his age, this is when you generally tend to see fighters accumulate more knockout losses as they get older.

The only way I can see Blachowicz winning this fight is by submission. However, getting a submission over a Dagestani is no simple task. Even though Ankalaev is listed as a grappler, any Dagestani fighter has skills on the ground. Ankalaev is also tremendously strong, so it may not be easy for Blachowicz to get him in position for submission. I suspect if Blachowicz gets a takedown, Ankalev will be able to get back to his feet quickly. With that being said, this seems like Ankalaev's fight. He is in his prime, and he has found success with his constant pressure and power. I think at some point in this fight, he will catch Blachowicz on his back foot and finish it off. This line will likely finish with juice, so I would jump in earlier in the week.

Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev Pick

Pick: Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO @ +120 (Bet $100 to collect $220) Get the best odds, available at FanDuel

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Article Author

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Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.

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