UFC Fight Night Odds, Picks & Predictions: Kattar vs. Ige
MMA expert Christian Broughton has had 3 winning events in-a-row following UFC 251. Now he sets his sight on this week’s Wednesday fight card, UFC Fight Island 1: Kattar vs. Ige.
BET OF THE CARD: (2u) Molly McCann @ -110 (to Return 3.818 Units)
Molly McCann vs. Taila Santos
Main Card Women’s Flyweight (125lbs) Bout – Approx. Start Time: 10:30 p.m. EST.
- McCann is currently ridding a 3-fight win streak, with each performance seeing her post 2+ takedowns, 100+ significant strikes and 2+ ground passes (per UFCStats.com).
My bet of the card for Wednesday night is on Molly “Meatball” McCann.
She’s a boxer with crisp and fast hands, but over the last couple of years, we’ve seen her wrestling and grappling progress immensely. We’re now seeing her mix in takedowns and clinch work with her striking, thus making her offense more varied and harder to defend against. On top of this, she’s always been scrappy and durable; two characteristics that her opponent has rarely encountered in her MMA career.
Taila Santos may have a 15-1 record, but don’t let that fool you into thinking she’s a top tier contender. Her record is massively padded with winless fighters from the Brazilian regional scene, and she’s yet to beat anyone I’d consider anywhere near to being a true UFC calibre fighter.
Santos holds a 2-inch height and 6-inch reach advantage over McCann (per Tapology.com), but with Molly’s 68% striking defense (per UFCStats.com) and ability to close distance, I see this playing a minimal factor in the fight.
Expect Molly to barrel forward throwing with harder shots and with greater volume. This alone will likely see her win at least two of the three rounds, but should she decide to take her opponent down, I can see her winning minutes simply by keeping Santos’ back to the mat. Molly’s price has already gone from +100 to -110 (best price), but with some books having her as high as -120, this line could continue to widen. Take her now at -110 while you still can.
(1.25u) Fight to Start Round 4 – Yes @ -122 (to Return 2.275 Units)
Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige
Main Event Featherweight (145lbs) Bout – Approx. Start Time: Midnight EST.
- Kattar and Ige have a combined 41 pro fights, with the only stoppage loss for either fighter coming via submission against Kattar all the way back in May 2008 (per Tapology.com).
Wednesday’s main event sees two surging featherweights collide; in what should be an exciting and action-packed affair.
Both fighters will have a distinct advantage over the other, with Kattar being the more polished striker, and Ige being the notably better grappler. This being said, I don’t see enough of a gap for either fighter to completely run over their opponent. Ige has shown us that he’s certainly capable of prolonged striking fights against elite strikers, as seen in his last fight against Edson Barboza. Whereas, Kattar has demonstrated solid takedown defense and a great get-up game.
I see this playing out largely on the feet, with Kattar getting the better of Ige for the majority of the opening 15 minutes. From there, he could score a late TKO stoppage over a fatigued Ige, or simply win a fairly lopsided decision. With this in mind, I like playing the “Fight to Start Round 4 – Yes” prop. It’s currently priced at just -122, and with the styles and durability of each guy, it looks too cheap to pass up on.
(0.5u) FOXBet Bet Boost: Liana Jojua to Win in Rounds 1-3 @ +550 (to Return 3.25 Units)
Diana Belbita vs. Liana Jojua
Preliminary Card Women’s Flyweight (125lb) Bout – Approx. Start Time: 8 p.m. EST.
- 6 of Jojua’s 7 wins have come inside the distance (5 via submission), and 3 of Belbita’s 5 losses have come via submission.
My final bet is a small half unit “flyer” on Georgian grappler, Liana Jojua, to win inside the distance.
This is a striker versus grappler match-up with two young and very “green” European fighters. Belbita will have the striking, length and reach advantages, but with Jojua’s grappling edge, this could turn into a real scrappy fight when it hits the mat.
Belbita did well to avoid getting submitted by Molly McCann in her UFC debut, but against someone like Jojua who’s more committed to working for submissions, she might not fare so well this time round.
Take Jojua to win inside the distance at a healthy +550 with FOXBet’s Bet Boost, she most likely wins by submission, but it covers a possible TKO for the exact same price as her current submission line.
Scroll down to view event details, odds & Christian’s full card predictions.
Event: UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige / UFC Fight Island 1: Kattar vs. Ige / UFC on ESPN 13: Kattar vs. Ige
Location & Venue: UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Date: Wednesday, July 15th, 2020
Start time: Main Card: 10 p.m. EST, Prelims 7 p.m. EST.
Where to watch: Main Card on ESPN/ESPN+, Prelims on ESPN/ESPN+
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige Full Fight Card Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige Main Event Prediction
Featherweight (145lbs): Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige – Kattar via Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige Main Card Predictions
Flyweight (125lbs): Tim Elliott vs. Ryan Benoit – Elliott via Decision
Featherweight (145lbs): Jimmie Rivera vs. Cody Stamann – Rivera via Decision
(W) Flyweight (125lbs): Molly McCann vs. Taila Santos – McCann via Decision
Welterweight (170lbs): Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Mounir Lazzez – Alhassan via KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige Prelim Card Predictions
Middleweight (185lbs): John Phillips vs. Khamzat Chimaev – Chimaev via Submission
Featherweight (145lbs): Ricardo Ramos vs. Lerone Murphy – Ramos via Decision
Light Heavyweight (205lbs): Modestas Bukauskas vs. Andreas Michailidis – Bukauskas via KO/TKO
Featherweight (145lbs): Jared Gordon vs. Chris Fishgold – Fishgold via KO/TKO
(W) Flyweight (125lbs): Diana Belbiţă vs. Liana Jojua – Jojua via Submission
Bantamweight (135lbs): Jack Shore vs. Aaron Phillips – Shore via Submission
Light Heavyweight (205lbs): Jorge Gonzalez vs. Kenneth Bergh – Bergh via Submission
*Fight card, bout order and number of fights subject to change.