UFC 264 Public Betting Data Picks & Predictions: Conor McGregor The Public Choice

A look at where the money’s been going for Saturday’s UFC 264 card, we provide our picks based on the betting data
Tom Dodd
Fri, July 9, 7:21 AM EDT

UFC 264 Public Betting Data Picks – Analyzing The Card By The Numbers

Utilizing OddsChecker’s betting data from fight week, we look at where the public money has been going on every main event fight at UFC 264.

Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor Picks

Let’s start at the top with the main event. The trilogy fight every MMA fan has been waiting for. It’s Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor 3 and it promises to be a blockbuster. The fighters are locked at 1-1 in their series of fights and after having to wait 7 years between fights one and two, they’re having the third just 6 months after their battle at UFC 257. Dustin Poirier came out on top in that fight, but that hasn’t stopped Conor McGregor being popular with bettors on Saturday. Since Monday, McGregor has accounted for 57% of total bets, with just 43% on Poirier.

OddsChecker verdict: Conor McGregor - 57% of bets

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Gilbert Burns vs. Stephen Thompson Picks

Obviously all the talk for Saturday is on McGregor vs Poirier, but the best fight on the card could well turn out to be 2nd main event; Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson. Burns comes into this fight off the back of a clash with the mighty Kamaru Usman, while Thompson is looking for one more chance at a title shot.  The betting for this fight follows the betting odds, with the slight favorite Stephen Thompson being the favorite of bettors too with 57% of total bets this week.

OddsChecker verdict: Stephen Thompson - 57% of bets

View odds for every fight at UFC 264 here.

Tai Tuisava vs Greg Hardy Picks

Saturday’s heavyweight clash between Tai Tuisava and Greg Hardy is impossible to call. That’s what the sportsbook think and it’s also what the bettors think. Currently, the fighters can’t be split in the betting and they’ve both seen 50% of wagers on them so far this week.

OddsChecker verdict: No bet

Irene Aldana vs Yana Kunitskaya Picks

The UFC 264 card is full of tight clashes and it’s why this Saturday’s event is so highly anticipated. Aldana vs Kunitskaya is no exception to that rule, with Aldana just favored to win by the sportsbooks, she’s the marginal favorite. The same can’t be said with the betting public however. Yana Kunitskaya has been popular to come out on top with 61% of total wagers being on the Russian.

OddsChecker verdict: Yana Kunitskaya – 61% of bets

Sean O’Malley vs Kris Moutinho Picks

Though the main event card is very competitive for UFC 264, it’s going to start with what should be a formality for Sean O’Malley as he faces up against the unknown Kris Moutinho. The best odds currently available are -800, with means you’d need to wager $800 to win $100. O’Malley is a heavy favorite and has also accounted for 73% of bets this week on this fight market.

OddsChecker verdict: Sean O’Malley – 73% of bets

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