UFC Fight Night Prop Picks and Best Bets: Expert Is Zeroed In On 2 Picks and +825 Prop Bet

MMA handicapper Dan Tom is back with his best bets and prop picks for UFC Fight Night, as well as his analysis of the main event, Smith vs. Spann.
Dan Tom
Fri, September 17, 12:23 PM EDT

UFC Fight Night Prop Picks and Best Bets: Expert Is Zeroed In On 2 Picks and +825 Prop Bet

With the UFC in full swing throughout 2021, we here at OddsCheckerUS will be looking to have you covered when it comes to betting on MMA. As a longtime martial arts analyst and gambler, I'll be providing you with everything from technical analysis to my favorite lines in the form of parlays, props, and more for upcoming fight cards.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Smith vs. Spann

Complete Smith vs. Spann Odds

The main event for UFC Vegas 37 features a fun fight between two light heavyweight finishers in Anthony Smith (-172) and Ryan Spann (+144).

Although the mileage dynamic of this matchup may point to Spann as a live dog, I suspect that it may be knockout or bust for the Fortis MMA product. Spann may be a more willing wrestler with a savvy submission game, but I'm not sure he'll be able to out-grapple Smith, who is a legit Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt.

More importantly, Smith has proven the ability to stage comebacks late into fights, as I suspect that will come in handy against a fighter with the propensity to tire as Spann does.

For that reason, I ended up sprinkling small for Smith to win in round 3 at +825. I also played Smith "inside the distance" at +100 since I don't see this fight going to decision.

Clark vs. Cutelaba

Straight Bet: Ion Cutelaba -145

In a card full of potential straight plays, Ion Cutelaba may very well be my most confident shot.

Though Cutelaba has been a fighter I've admittedly faded in the past, I like the changes he's made professionally by teaming up with Eric Nicksick and the team over at Xtreme Couture in Las Vegas. Working with a well-rounded camp that can provide Cutelaba with better training partners and process is, at least on paper, the perfect fit for the Moldovan wildman.

Cutelaba faces Devin Clark (+128), who is admittedly a big reason as to why I like this spot.

I've never been sold on Clark as a fighter despite looking the part from his physique to the stable he trains with. Sure, Clark may be a strong wrestler, but his top control – much less his ability to finish on the mat – is shockingly vacant despite consistently pushing fights there.

Cutelaba's Greco-style wrestling is far from impervious, but the 27-year-old standout has shown the toughness to push through hard fights when tired – something we haven't seen from Clark. Couple that with Clark's propensity to succumb to potent finishers. I am willing to bet that Cutelaba gets this done inside the distance (which currently sits in the neighborhood of +110, for those interested).

Click Here For Clark vs. Cutelaba Odds

Kianzad vs. Pennignton

Straight Bet: Raquel Pennington -125

I elected to stay within the proven sample sizes for my second straight play of the card by backing Raquel Pennington.

Although it feels like Pennington has been hanging around forever, she looks to be in the shape of her life heading into this fight with Pannie Kianzad, as she seems to be amid a career renaissance of sorts. Even when Pennington struggled through injures and other issues earlier in her career, the UFC veteran has always been a deceptively well-rounded competitor and consistent tough-out.

Kianzad is a fighter who I've been on the right side of in her recent run. I'm just not sure I like the travel aspect or stylistic matchup for her in this spot. The Swede has solid boxing to boot, but I believe that Pennington can match her in that department and take things to the floor.

Pennington, the better grappler and more willing wrestler will also benefit from fighting in the smaller octagon (which should suit her clinch game nicely). Add in the fact that both ladies are durable, and I suspect that Pennington ends up winning by decision, which is currently going off at +140.

Regardless of what you're betting, good luck and bet responsibly, my friends!

Click Here For Kianzad vs. Pennington Odds

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann Picks

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And if you'd like more of my analysis, feel free to check out my weekly show, The Protect Ya' Neck Podcast.

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