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MMA handicapper Dan Tom is back with his best bets and predictions for UFC Fight Night Blachowicz vs. Teixeira. He breaks down a parlay and a prop bet to tail.

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira, Parlay, and Prop Bets

With the UFC in full swing throughout 2021, we here at OddsChecker will be looking to have you covered when it comes to betting on MMA. As a longtime martial arts analyst and gambler, I'll be providing you with everything from technical analysis to my favorite lines in the form of parlays, props, and more for upcoming fight cards.

Click Here For Complete UFC Fight Night Odds

UFC Fight Night Parlay (+125)

Albert Duraev (-350), Magomed Ankalaev (-305) and Lerone Murphy (-310)

As I always say, parlaying is a mad man's game in MMA. That said, I'd be lying if I told you that I didn't dabble in them for fun (keyword fun). For this week's parlay, I decided to go with a chalk trio that could produce plus money.

For my first leg, I elected to go with Albert Duraev, who faces Roman Kopylov.

Duraev is a proven product from the regional scene that I've been watching for some time, as I suspect that he'll be a bad matchup for the southpaw striker in Kopylov. Not only is Kopylov lacking in takedown defense, but Duraev is a strong wrestler who has solid finishing instincts when he gets to dominant positions.

Add in the fact that Karl Roberson was able to submit Kopylov, and I ended up sprinkling some change on "Duraev by submission," which currently sits in the neighborhood of +125.

For my second leg, I decided to attach Magomed Ankalaev, who is set to meet Volkan Oezdemir.

Although Oezdemir is technically 2-2 against UFC-level southpaws, those stats can be misleading when you actually break down the fights and the context surrounding them. More importantly, Oezdemir will be returning from a year-plus layoff against a fighter whom I've long pegged as a dark horse of the division.

Not only will Ankalaev carry knockout threats on the feet, but the Master of Sport in Combat Sambo will also be the far better wrestler of the two. Ankalaev can win inside the distance or get it done by decision, as I'll just be sticking to the money line to help hold up this week's parlay.

Last but not least, I went with Lerone Murphy to close things out.

Murphy meets Mawkwan Amirkhani, who is a wrestler with a strong submission game from the front headlock. I suspect that Amirkhani will score a couple of takedowns to make Murphy backers sweat early, but ultimately believe that the Brit will get back to his feet.

Murphy may get into scrambles more often than you'd like to see for a striker with his savvy, but the English fighter is fully equipped with solid wrestling capabilities and a good defensive instinct. Couple that with Amirkhani's propensity to gas as fights go on, and I suspect that Murphy pulls away for a clear win down the stretch.

Prop Pick: Amanda Ribas by Decision (+120)

Although I'm a big fan of Virna Jandiroba, I couldn't help but take a shot on Amanda Ribas by decision.

Despite both ladies carrying high finishing rates, I suspect that their strengths will cancel each other out in this spot. Each strawweight comes from an accomplished Brazilian jiu-jitsu base, but believe that Ribas' judo and wrestling chops will give her an edge in positioning.

Add in the fact that Jandiroba won't carry the knockout threat that seems to be her counterpart's kryptonite, and I suspect that that Ribas' superior striking rate carries her through to a win on the scorecards.

Regardless of what you're betting, good luck and bet responsibly, my friends!

And if you'd like more of my analysis, feel free to check out my weekly show, The Protect Ya' Neck Podcast.

Article Author


MMA analyst for MMAJunkie, USA TODAY Sports, and OddsChecker US.


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