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Auburn vs. Arkansas prediction, betting pick and odds from college football handicapper Ian Cameron. Read on to see who he's picking to win.
ANALYSIS

Auburn vs. Arkansas Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

Spread: Arkansas -3.5

Total: 53.5

Game Time: Saturday, 12 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: CBS

#17 Arkansas' Record: 4-2 (1-2 in SEC)

Auburn's Record: 4-2 (3-1 in SEC)

Auburn vs. Arkansas odds

Auburn vs. Arkansas Prediction

It’s an SEC West battle on Saturday between the Auburn Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks. Auburn enters after experiencing the same kind of pain and anguish everyone has had after playing the Georgia Bulldogs, coming up on the wrong end of a 34-10 loss to the best team in the country.

Auburn’s offense was shut down for the most part as QB Bo Nix had just 217 passing yards without a TD and 1 INT. The ground attack was ineffective as well, as Auburn had just 46 rushing yards on 29 attempts, averaging less than 2 yards per carry. The defense tried to hang in there, but Georgia’s offense, led by QB Stetson Bennett, moved the football and scored 2 TDs in each half to gain separation.

Auburn is -2.1 yards per play in their last four games against the four best teams they’ve played so far this season: Penn State, Georgia State, LSU and Georgia. That doesn’t exactly bode well for their chances, in my opinion, as they prepare to take on yet another very good team.

Arkansas will be looking to bounce back after consecutive losses in their last two games against Georgia and Ole Miss. There is no shame in either loss for the Razorbacks against two excellent teams. The Razorbacks offense with QB K.J. Jefferson has been solid all season, aside from their shutout loss to the Georgia Bulldogs, and Jefferson has put forth a really good four-game stretch with 8 TDs and just 1 INT.

The Arkansas RB duo of Raheim Sanders and Trelon Smith are both averaging at least 5 yards per rush this season, giving the Razorbacks a balanced attack on offense. The Arkansas defense has been very good most of the season, but the last two weeks against Georgia and Ole Miss the Razorbacks' unit struggled, allowing 89 points in those games as they were outgained on a yards per play basis by -3.0 yards.

his game should give Arkansas the chance to rebound defensively against a far less imposing Auburn offense that averaged just 22 points in their two previous road games. The Tigers were -0.3 yards per play in those contests against Penn State and LSU and it’s surely worth noting the struggles that Auburn QB Bo Nix has had on the road for the majority of his collegiate career.

I think this is the right spot and matchup for Arkansas to snap their two game skid and get back on track at home laying a short number. The Razorbacks have some impressive performances on their resume in spite of the last two losses. Arkansas knocked off Texas and Texas A&M outright as underdogs last month.

Auburn’s ability to beat good teams on the road has been an issue for them. They did beat LSU in Baton Rouge two weeks ago but I’m not sure that I consider LSU a good team right now after seeing them get crushed by Kentucky last week. This is a tough game for Auburn on the road against an Arkansas looking to stop the bleeding after back-to-back losses to terrific teams. Auburn’s lack of success when stepping up in class against better competition is also evidenced by their current 1-6 ATS slide in their last 7 games as underdogs. I think the line is reasonable enough to endorse Arkansas as short home favorites.

Auburn vs. Arkansas Pick

Pick: Arkansas -3.5

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