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Cincinnati vs. Houston prediction and pick for the AAC title game this weekend. Jason Radowitz gives his pick for this matchup with CFP implications
ANALYSIS

Houston vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Spread: Cincinnati -10.5

Total: 54

Game time: Saturday, 4 p.m. ET

Where to watch: ABC

Cincinnati vs. Houston odds

Houston vs Cincinnati Prediction

The Houston Cougars will look to smash the Cincinnati Bearcats and their dreams in the AAC Conference Championship game at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. Yes, this game is a home game for Cincinnati, who will be looking to go 13-0 on the season.

But beyond a 13-0 season, the Bearcats will look to become the first non-power five school to ever make the College Football Playoff. With a win against a ranked Houston team, the Bearcats would more than likely earn a spot in the tournament.

Despite the Bearcats being undefeated, this isn’t going to be an easy game. Houston is 11-1 on the year with its lone loss to Texas Tech. If it weren’t for that overtime loss for Houston, we’d be featuring two undefeated teams looking to make the College Football Playoff.

There’s no doubt that if Cincinnati defeats Houston for the AAC Championship, they’re in the College Football Playoff. But first, the Bearcats must take care of business. Here are our picks and predictions for the AAC Championship game between the Houston Cougars vs Cincinnati Bearcats.

Houston vs. Cincinnati Injury Report

Houston

Questionable: WR KeSean Carter (Undisclosed)

Out: RB James Fullbright III (Knee), DL Sedrick Williams  (Ankle)

Cincinnati

Questionable: K Cole Smith (Undisclosed), WR Michael Young Jr. (Undisclosed)

Houston vs Cincinnati Prediction

The Cincinnati Bearcats are looking to be the first non-power five team to make the College Football Playoff. Some might say that Cincinnati had an easy path to an undefeated season. However, that hasn’t been the case. They’ve won every single game on their schedule and only one other team has done that this season in Georgia.

You have to give credit where credit is due. Now the Bearcats will take on a Houston Cougars team that was one overtime loss away from putting together their own perfect season through 12 games.

Because of their loss to East Carolina, at home, in overtime, nobody is talking about Houston despite being 11-1 on the year. If the Bearcats defeat Houston, it’ll be an impressive win and a big enough win to make sense of Cincinnati being in the College Football Playoff.

The Bearcats are led by Desmond Ridder, who has thrown for 27 touchdowns on the season along with 3000 yards. The pass protection just hasn’t been there for Ridder this year but the run game has stepped up with Jerome Ford leading the charge. He has 182 attempts for 1,055 yards along with 17 touchdowns on the season.

However, Houston has allowed just 289.5 yards per game this season and only 97.9 yards on the ground. Most teams haven’t achieved more than 100 rushing yards per game against Houston, which is something to think about. The Bearcats simply don’t have the best offensive line and should struggle against a Houston defensive line that has not only been terrific in the run game but also has been dominant in the passing game.

Houston is also averaging 38.8 points per game and allowing just 19.8 points per game. The offense simply mirrors Cincinnati with nearly 40 points per game and over 420 yards of offense. Meanwhile, the Houston defense has allowed fewer yards but more points.

The only blemish for the Cougars has been tackling, but overall, this game should be much tighter than some expect. Houston could easily end up winning this game on the road as the offense and defense match up extremely well against Cincinnati.

Houston, led by junior Clayton Tune, could pull off a big upset on Saturday. This would keep Cincinnati out of the playoff and help put Houston in a New Year’s Six Bowl. Alton McCaskill was injured last week at the running back position but is expected to play. He’s a freshman that has 16 touchdowns on the year off just 162 attempts.

Ride Houston and take all the points you can get.

Houston vs Cincinnati Pick

Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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