Army vs Navy Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

College Football Expert, Jason Radowitz makes his picks for Army vs Navy.
Jason Radowitz |
Mon, December 6, 12:26 PM EST | 4 min read
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Army vs Navy Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

Army vs Navy 

Spread: Army -7.5

O/U: 36.5

Date: Saturday, December 11, 2021

Game Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: ESPN+

Army vs Navy Odds

Army vs Navy Prediction

Last week we had conference championship football. This week, we’ve got just one game before bowl games and the playoffs.

As the matchups in the playoffs align, we get our traditional Army vs Navy game for Week 15. The game will be featured on CBS at 3 pm ET on Saturday in MetLife Stadium.

Army is 8-3 on the year and is looking for their ninth win on the season. Meanwhile, Navy is just 3-8 but is looking to spoil Army’s big season.

In a game full of triple options and plenty of runs, can Navy stick around against Army? 

Army vs Navy Injury Report

Army:

Questionable: RB Anthony Adkins (Undisclosed)

Out: S Mitchell West (Out)

Army vs Navy Prediction

Despite Army winning last year’s battle, 15-0, Navy has won 53.3 percent of the time against Army in its rich history.

Navy ended up winning in 2019, which ended a long streak of Army victories dating back to 2016.

Army has put together a very good season this year. At 8-3, the Black Knights are 7.5 point favorites and will look for another win on the season against arch-rival Navy.

Both teams run a triple-option and while it usually fools most schools, these two defenses practice against it all of the time. These defenses are ready for it.

The total is always set extremely low between these two teams with everyone knowing that both teams will just look to run the ball throughout the entire game. Last year’s game finished 15-0 is a prime example of why people love betting the under in this game.

However, Army’s offense is very capable of scoring points. The Black Knights have averaged 35.5 points per game and the total against Navy is just 35.5 points.

Something’s got to give. And I think Army’s got real potential with their offense this season. The offensive line should be able to move Navy well in this game. Navy has allowed 131.6 yards rushing per game this season with just under 360 yards total per game.

Meanwhile, Army is earning just under 395 yards per game and has gained over 300 yards on the ground per game this season. Army and Navy both have so many potential running backs. You never know which player can go off. Tyrell Robinson lacks in carries but when he gets them, it’s for a long gain. Robinson has rushed just 59 times for 582 yards. That’s an average of 9.9 yards. He could be an x-factor in this game.

On the other hand, Navy has earned one yard fewer per carry this season in comparison to Navy and doesn’t have the depth at running back as Army does. Isaac Ruoss has been the main guy but he’s rushed for 608 yards on 157 attempts.

The public loves taking the under in this game. They love looking at trends. But each game is different. Each team is different. The total from previous years doesn’t mean that much.

I’m grabbing the over 35.5 and believe Army has a lot of offense in them against Navy.

Army vs Navy Pick

Jason Radowitz
@Jason_Radowitz

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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