Missouri vs. Army Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

Missouri vs. Army prediction and pick for Wednesday's Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth, TX. Jason Radowitz breaks down the game and gives his pick
Jason Radowitz |
Mon, December 20, 9:54 AM EST | 4 min read
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Missouri vs. Army Prediction, Pick Against the Spread, and Latest Odds

Missouri Tigers vs. Army Black Knights - Armed Forces Bowl

Spread: Army -4

Total: 57.5

Game time: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. ET, Fort Worth, TX

Where to watch: ESPN

Missouri vs. Army odds

Missouri vs. Army Prediction

The Army Black Knights put together a fantastic season, only to lose to Navy in the final regular-season game. Either way, Army had their opponent before that game and it was an SEC team in the Missouri Tigers.

The Missouri Tigers went 6-6 on the season, winning three of their last five games to guarantee a bowl game. Meanwhile, Army won eight games and put together the more complete season, against the worse competition.

Here are our picks and predictions for the Armed Forces Bowl between the Missouri Tigers and Army Black Knights. The game is being held in Fort Worth, Texas at the Amon G. Carter Stadium.

Missouri vs. Army INJURY REPORT

Missouri

Questionable: OL Bobby Lawrence (Undisclosed), DB Shawn Robinson (Undisclosed), RB Elijah Young (Undisclosed)

Out: OL Case Cook (Undisclosed), DB Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (Knee), DL Chris Turner (Undisclosed)

Army

No Injuries Reported

Missouri vs. Army Prediction

The Missouri Tigers might’ve went 6-6 on the season but the Tigers still allowed 34.7 points per game. Of course, it’s hard to defend in the SEC with so many powerhouse teams in the league. But going 6-6 while scoring five fewer points per game is pretty impressive.

Missouri doesn’t have the worst offense. The Tigers averaged 412.1 yards per game behind sophomore quarterback Connor Bazelak who had his injuries throughout the year.

The run game did most of the talking with Missouri averaging 178.9 yards per game on the season thanks to Tyler Badie rushing for 1,604 yards on 268 carries. He also scored 14 touchdowns and averaged six yards per carrying, with games mostly in the SEC.

But if it weren’t for the Florida Gators collapsing, I’m not so sure that Missouri would be in a bowl game. It’s deserved, sure. But the talent defensively just isn’t there for the Tigers.

Missouri has allowed 445.4 yards per game this season with nearly 230 yards coming on the ground. That’s why this could be an awful matchup for Missouri. Army is averaging over 285 yards on the ground per game and should be able to fool Missouri’s run defense, which has been awful, to begin with, this season.

The only area where Missouri has excelled has been the pass rush. But Army rarely drops back and will look to run through the Tigers.

On the other hand, Army is allowing just 320.3 yards per game and won’t be fooled by Missouri’s offense like Missouri’s defense will be fooled with Army’s offense. The triple-option is hard to prepare for if you’re not an armed forces team.

The Black Knights are simply balanced on defense and while the coverage is easily the worst part of the defense, Army has only allowed 208.9 yards per game in the air and that’s after playing teams like Liberty and Wake Forest.

It’s hard to bet against an SEC team in a bowl game but I like what I’ve seen out of Army this year.

Missouri Tigers vs Army Black Knights Pick

  • PICK: Army -4 (-110)

Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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