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College football season is two weeks away. Every team is getting ready for the season. John Hyslop is here to break down Kansas State.
ANALYSIS

2022 College Football Predictions: How Will Chris Klieman and the Wildcats Handle The Big 12?

It's football season and that means a lot of things to a lot of people. To me, it means one thing; gambling. Since you're reading this, it probably means the same thing to you. Now obviously we're betting every week but there's one underserved market out there that people forget about. That market is the season-long win total market. Sure people have heard of this market but I don't think they use it as much as they should. Everyone I know talks about it from June-ish all the way until the season starts but then doesn't actually place a bet. They have no idea what they're missing. It's fun. We're about to take what we think is a bullshit school right now and turn them into where we went. We'll all be alumni in about 15 minutes. What a world.

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2022 NCAAF Prediction - Kansas State Prop Pick

Kansas State Over 6.5 Wins (-155) (Bet $155 to win $100)

*Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing*

This one is a BetMGM and it's pricey but it's the best price around so there's that. It's slightly better than the 6.5 (-160) FanDuel is offering but not by much. Both of those books are better than DraftKings with this one as they are showing 6.5 (-170) but bettors have bigger problems with DraftKings than the price. I don't know who came up with the layout but there's just a list of teams in no order whatsoever with a price next to them. The others have things broken up by conference but not DraftKings. Just a random list. Sad.

2022 NCAAF Prediction - Kansas State Prop Prediction

Click Here for Kansas State Total Wins Odds

Do I want to pay -155 for Kansas State? Not at all but I don't want to pay -155 for anything. The thing is after I saw their schedule, it hit me that this should be like -1000. I have no idea what the books were thinking with this one. I could sit here and tell you all about Adrian Martinez, Duece Vaughn, Phillip Brooks, Malik Knowles, and Kade Warner but why? Win totals are about schedules (probably) and when you start breaking down what lies in front of the Wildcats, it looks pretty good.

How I like to approach the schedule is very complex. I look at who they are playing and I start counting wins. We can do that together now. The Wildcats start the season with South Dakota (1). Then they host Missouri (2) followed by Tulane (3). Now we've got Oklahoma which is bad but let's be honest, what if the Sooners suck? That could happen. Still, I won't give them a win there because I'm a fair man but I will go ahead and count Texas Tech (4) the very next week as a win. At this point, we're more than halfway home (4-1) by the time the sun sets on October first. Damn it feels good to be a Wildcat. And that's why we gamble, to feel good. It's working.

This is where the schedule gets tough but we only need to win three more games so we're probably going to be talking trash like a bunch of champions this whole time. Iowa State will be tough on October 8th but we get TCU (5) on the 22nd after our bye week. I'm counting that as a win. They have a new coach and they play Oklahoma State the week before. Now, all we have to do is win once against Oklahoma State, Texas, Baylor, or West Virginia (6) and we're home. I don't know who we're beating but we're beating one of them. After that gauntlet, we play perennial doormat, Kansas (7), on the Saturday after Thanksgiving so that's an obvious win. There is no reason this team should be 6.5 anywhere on the planet since we just found seven wins. This is easy.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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