College Football Week 4 Parlay: Adding an Anytime Touchdown to a Michigan Win
College Football Week 4 Parlay: Adding an Anytime Touchdown to a Michigan Win
Week 4 of the college football slate is here and Stuart Durst is here to share with us his favorite parlay for Saturday's slate of games.
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Jordan Addison TD + Michigan ML -139 (Bet $139 to win $100)
Jordan Addison has probably been my favorite college football target this season. Addison was the star receiver in the portal this summer, after recording 17 touchdowns last season with Pittsburgh. While some thought regression may be coming, it's clear that Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison is a combo that will give defensive coordinators nightmares, especially in the red zone. USC has blown out all three of their opponents thus far, leading to decreased usage in the third and fourth quarters. Despite that, Addison has recorded five touchdowns in three games, going for two or more in two out of three.
Now let's look at this week, against an Oregon State team that isn't expected to just roll over. The game total itself is currently set at 70.5, meaning the sportsbooks are clearly expecting sparks to fly in this one. While the Oregon State defense has been solid this season, they also haven't been tested nearly on this level yet. Even if they are able to double cover Addison, once they get down to the red zone it's clear the offense revolves around getting the ball to their most talented receiver. This line really should be available anymore, I would expect 1.5 Touchdowns to be his line for spreads within seven points in the future.
Now let's talk about Michigan, whose role in this parlay serves solely to bring the juice down. While I thought about going with USC moneyline, for plus odds, It definitely brings a decent amount more risk. Michigan hasn't really been tested this season, but clearly has a more talented team than Maryland. Not only will they win the battle in both trenches, but they also now have a more athletic quarterback which raises their ceiling a decent amount. Maryland is a fun team, they score a lot of points against mid-tier teams and put up video game numbers. That being said, anytime they’ve faced real defenses they’ve absolutely crumbled. I expect Michigan to take care of business against their first real opponent this season.