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SMU has really struggled to close games this season but now they get a favorable matchup against a very porous Navy defense. Let’s break it down.

SMU vs. Navy Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can Tanner Mordecai and the Mustangs Get Back on Track?

Both teams come into this game with 2-3 records but the public perception of each team has been very different. Navy did not have many expectations coming into the season and have played fairly well given what was expected of them. SMU on the other hand was a team that many people pegged to have a breakout year and possibly be a group of five teams to make a New Years bowl game.

SMU vs. Navy Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Friday, October 14, 2022
  • Start Time: 7:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

SMU vs. Navy Odds

Spread: SMU -12.5 (-107), Navy +12.5 (-106)

Total: Over/Under 58 (-107)

Moneyline: SMU (-450), Navy (+375)

Click Here for SMU vs. Navy Odds

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SMU vs. Navy Prediction

Things just have not clicked for SMU this season as they have blown multiple second-half leads and overall have been really sloppy. The thing that has not been sloppy with SMU this season is their ability to move the ball. SMU got a ton of yards in their matchup last week against UCF but was not able to turn them into points. They have been very inefficient in the red zone this season but Navy has also been very bad on defense.

Navy is one of the worst defensive teams in the conference and is in the bottom half of the country in yards allowed per play. Navy has played very well in the underdog role this season but has struggled on defense and on the other side, SMU has really struggled against the number as well.

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So for this game, I am rolling with Tanner Mordecai OVER 309.5 passing yards at -115 (DraftKings) for 1U as I believe he will be able to light up Navy through the air. Seth Henigan and the Memphis offense were able to put up 400+ passing yards against Navy and SMU is a very close corollary to Memphis so I like the Matchup for Mordecai and the SMU offense tonight.

SMU vs. Navy Pick

Tanner Mordecai OVER 309.5 passing yards at -115 for 1U (Bet $115 to win $100)

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Article Author


Joey has spent the last 6+ years betting on sports with a focus on basketball and baseball. Basketball is his main focus, and not many people know more about mid-major basketball than him. Whether you need advice on a Saturday night primetime game or a Tuesday night back-alley SWAC/MEAC game, Joey is your man.


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