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ANALYSIS

Oregon State vs. Oregon Prediction, Pick, Odds: Can Bo Nix Lead Oregon to Pac-12 Championship?

The Oregon Ducks are coming off a huge win against the Utah Utes last weekend. Now they'll look to earn a Pac-12 Championship appearance with a win on the road against Oregon State. The Ducks ultimately lost their first Pac-12 game to Washington the previous weekend, but they'll still get their shot at a Pac-12 Championship if they can escape Oregon State in a massive rivalry matchup.

Meanwhile, Oregon State is no pushover. They're currently ranked in the top 25 and have an 8-3 record. The Beavers have won four of their last five games, with the lone loss coming against Washington, 24-21. The Huskies are the one team to beat Oregon this year. This should be an extremely close battle, especially with Oregon State at home. What can we expect on Saturday?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Saturday's game between the Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks.

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Oregon State vs. Oregon Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ABC

Oregon State vs. Oregon Odds

  • Spread: Oregon -3.5 (-110), Oregon +3.5 (-110)
  • Total Odds: O/U 56.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline Odds: Oregon (-180), Oregon State (+150)

Oregon State vs. Oregon odds

Oregon State vs. Oregon Injury Report

Oregon

Out: RB Byron Cardwell (Lower Body)

Oregon State

Out: TE Luke Musgrave (Undisclosed), QB Chance Nolan (Neck)

Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction

The Oregon Ducks could set up a huge matchup with USC in the Pac-12 Championship with a win against Oregon State. The Ducks and Trojans haven't played each other this season. We'd all be looking forward to that game. But the Ducks still need to get by against Oregon State first. Oregon has averaged 40.2 points per game with Bo Nix under center. Nix likely won't win the Heisman, but he's played his way into the conversation. Nix has thrown for 25 touchdowns and over 3,000 yards. He's also been a significant playmaker with his legs this season.

The run game has also impressed, with Bucky Irving leading the charge. He's rushed for 6.6 yards per carry on 129 attempts. Irving has rushed for 851 yards and has three touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Oregon defense has allowed 26.5 points per game while allowing close to 400 yards per game. The defense is best in coverage, but they've been slightly above average everywhere else.

The Ducks held Utah to 17 points last week but have allowed some of the better teams to put up a solid amount of points per game. For example, Washington scored 37, and UCLA added 30 points. They also allowed Georgia to score 49 in a 49-3 loss to begin the season.

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On the other hand, Oregon State hasn't been the better offense but is truly better defensively. The Beavers have added 406.1 yards per game offensively with 31.2 points per game. With Chance Nolan out, Ben Gulbranson has taken over at quarterback as a freshman. He's got a 59.6 QBR with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this season. A QBR of nearly 60% for a freshman backup is actually pretty good.

The Beavers have also rushed for 192.9 yards per game, with Damien Martinez leading the way. Martinez has rushed for 6.1 yards per carry on 143 attempts. He's already earned 867 yards and has seven touchdowns. Meanwhile, the defense has been elite, holding teams to 20.3 points per game. The secondary has held teams to 219.3 yards per game. They've been tremendous. The run defense has also done well, holding teams to 111.4 yards per game.

Oregon State doesn't have the most efficient pass rush, and they've struggled in the tackling department. However, they've allowed no more than 24 points in their last five games. Washington was also the team that scored 24, which in the grand scheme of things, isn't so bad for the Oregon State defense.

I wouldn't be surprised at home if Oregon State pulled off the upset. But for Oregon State to win this game with a freshman quarterback, the defense must step up and keep this game as low-scoring as possible.

Therefore, I'll back the Under 56.5.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks Pick

Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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