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Jeff Reinebold gives us his picks for Championship weekend

Home advantage is going to be key in deciding the outcome of Championship weekend.

What’s up everyone, we’re finally at Championship weekend! And to be honest, we’ve probably got the four best teams of the season playing in it. None of them are perfect, but they are all capable of making big plays and racking up points.

One thing they all have in common is a QB that is absolutely dialled in on their whole franchise and ones that are the focal point of their teams. We could well see something truly special from all four.

Rams @ Saints - 01/20/2019

Firstly, let’s look at the Saints playing the Rams at home, and one thing is for sure: If you thought it was loud in that dome against the Eagles, you ain’t seen nothing yet! I’ve been in there on the sidelines for the Sugar Bowl and it genuinely made my ears hurt.

If New Orleans can get the crowd into the game fully, it just lifts them. You saw them get momentum after the Eagles’ fast start on Sunday. They have a variety of plays to call upon and can get creative when needed, so it’s going to be tough for LA.

But one thing the Rams does so well is make a difference at the line of scrimmage. They will look to impose that early on, and give Goff enough time to do his thing. Sean McVey will actually be in the ear of Goff inside his helmet, so we could see a lot of audibles. But with that crowd, it might be tough.

At the moment, Drew Brees is like a fine wine, he’s getting better with age. He’s playing at a higher level than I’ve ever seen from him, and like Tom Brady and Philip Rivers, he’s going on and on and on.

It's because they all look after themselves off the field are aided by the rule changes we’ve seen. Brees’ experience could just be the deciding factor down the stretch.

The Rams are running the ball well at the moment, but they are giving up too many big plays and they can’t do that in what I think will be a close game, decided by less than a touchdown.

But the home field advantage is always three points to me, just like I’ve said many times before. It could be enough to just get the Saints over the line.

Saints -3pts

Patriots @ Saints - 01/20/2019 6:40pm

After that we’ll have the Patriots going out of Foxboro and going to Kansas City, where Arrowhead will be absolutely jumping from minute one to minute sixty.

In my mind it’s fair that the Pats are underdogs for once, that stadium gives KC such a boost, as will the weather conditions.

The Patriots though will be prepared. They prepare better than any team in the NFL and we saw it bear fruit against LA on Sunday.

From the opening drive they were running the ball at will, using a million different formations to bamboozle the Chargers defence. And afterwards, they were so impressive with their mentality. Brady was already focused on their next job, he knows how hard this game will be.

This one is on a razor thin edge and both teams have their weaknesses. The Patriots are slightly offensive lacking, in that they don’t have anyone to really get them vertically up the field. They will rely on Phillip Dorsett to do that job.

The Chiefs meanwhile have a defense that has had problems, and New England need to force themselves on that D-line with their running game.

It’s a coin toss for me, and I really don’t want to pick for you it’s that close! But sticking with my three point home field advantage, I’ve got to give it to the Chiefs -3. This one is as tight as they come! 

Chiefs -3pts


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