Super Bowl LIII: Best Prop Bets

The top 5 prop bets for Super Bowl 53
Samuel Farley
Thu, January 31, 3:01 PM
One of the most fun parts about the Super Bowl is the sheer volume of prop markets to bet on. There's an exhaustive list but we've been digging through the sportsbooks to find the best props possible. Here are the five which we think offer the best value.

Jersey Number of First TD Scorer - Under 29.5 @ -115

 

The line for this strange prop is 29.5 which seems to heavily favor the under. The list of notable players with the chance of scoring and jersey numbers of 30 or above is a short one, Rob Gronkwoski, Todd Gurley and CJ Anderson. It certainly wouldn't be a surprise if either of those three scored first however I'll take my chance on the list of players wearing 29 and lower. Julian Edelman leads that group, alongside Sony Michel, Robert Woods, Brandin Cooks and perenial Super Bowl performer James White. 

Rob Gronkowski Total Receptions - Over 4 @ +120

 

Yes, he's had a poor season, and yeah, sure, he may be covered by Aqib Talib but Gronk is still a huge threat in the passing game. He's still got Tom Brady's faith and the QB was keen to look for him during the Conference Championship game against the Kansas City Chiefs, most notably during the clutch game-winning drive. He got targeted 11 times against the Chiefs and with that in mind this Total Reception market looks like a good price for punters.

Total Number of Player to Have a Passing Attempt - Over 2.5 @ +100

 

Last year we saw the famous Philly Special as well as a pass which wasn't caught by Tom Brady. You're not going to get four seperate players with passing attempts but three seems very possible. If there's one game in a season where you can attempt trick plays then it's the Super Bowl. It's notable that both the Pats' Julian Edelman and Rams' Johnny Hekker played QB in their youth and have experience of passing in the NFL too. Those two talented players, combined with the occasion, make this seem likely to me, and that's before we factor in the chance of an injury to either Brady or Jared Goff.

Josh Reynolds Total Recieving Yards - Over 48.5 yards @ -108

 

The former-Aggies wideout has been the main beneficiary of Cooper Kupp's injury early in the season. Reynolds has put up a solid set of numbers this season and although they're unspectacular, you'd fancy him to be able to perform well against the Patriots.

 

Reynold's teammate Brandin Cooks is a former Patriot himself and played in last year's loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Cooks is a talented reciever and the main deep threat in the Rams' passing game. Look at how effectively the Patriots shut down the Chiefs' deep ball specialist Tyreek Hill. Not only that but Cooks is also a known commodity to Bill Belichick and there's no way that he hasn't told the Patriots secondary all of Cooks' weaknesses. Reynolds will capitalise on Cooks being taken out of the game, giving him him a great chance of covering this.

Gronk to retire by Monday 02/04 - Yes @ +400

 

There have been rumblings of Gronk retiring for months now and it's rumored that he threatened to retire during the last post-season when the Patriots were close to dealing him to the Detroit Lions. It's been clear to anyone who has watched him play this season that his body is struggling to cope with the demands of professional football. With his TV and movie career poised to take off then there's every chance he may want to ride off into the sunset if he were to become a World Champion again on Sunday night.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Jul 2020
Record
Wins
17
Losses
25
Push
0
ROI
33.57%
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