4 NFC Win Total Locks
The new NFL season is looming on the horizon and we're all looking forward to the return of football. We've cast an eye over each team's expected win totals in the NFC and AFC to find four teams in each who we feel offer great value.
New York Giants - Under 6 wins (-120)
Sorry New York but things look set to get a lot worse before they get better. It wasn't long ago that the Giants were considering a beacon in how to run a franchise well and now they're becoming a punchline.
Last year the Giants went 5-11 but can you really see them getting another win? Eli Manning, who last year played like a fossil in a blue uniform, is another year older. There are still doubts over the offensive line.
Sure, Saquon Barkley was majestic last season but he returns without Odell Beckham Jr alongside him. Without OBJ's game-breaking threat it'll be easier for the defense to heavily stack the box and to neutralize Saquon. Not only that but with his workload and lack of protection there is an increased chance at injury.
Sorry G-Men but this looks like a lock.
New Orleans Saints - Over 10.5 wins (+114)
The Saints only lost 3 games in last year's regular season, one of which was a second string upset against the Panthers. It's tough to see them losing 3 more games than last year.
Brees may be aging and there's no Mark Ingram to assist Alvin Kamara but there's still incredible talent on that offense. In addition that the defense is young and only continuing to develop. This looks like a real value play.
Arizona Cardinals - Under 5 wins (+110)
The attention grabbing arrival of Kyler Murray has ensured we'll be eagerly awaiting Arizona games this season but has it really improved the team much? Josh Rosen's failings last season were more down to an offensive line that was weaker than a wet paper bag. Their best reciever is still any aging Larry Fitzgerald and there are still doubts around the rest of the team.
All of that is before considering Kliff Kingsbury, the new coach, who failed to get Texas Tech firing even when he had a young Patrick Mahomes. Nothing about this points to success.
Detroit Lions - Under 6.5 wins (+100)
They only managed 6 wins last year and looking at their schedule it doesn't take Bran Stark to work out that they won't top it this year. In their division they'll face the superb Chicago Bears and the Vikings and Packers, both of whom you'd suspect improving this year.
The arrival of rookie tightend TJ Hockenson is interesting, as is Kerryon Johnson's sophmore year but this feels like a poor collection of players, coached by Matt Patricia who has, so far at least, failed to instill the 'Patriot way' in Detroit.