The 2019 Draft class offered a lot of defensive talent, with a couple of big names and a few hidden gems on the offensive side. Heading into this coming season, there’s a select few that I’m expecting to burst onto the main stage with an offensive ROY worthy performance. Here are my pick for the NFL 2019 Offensive Rookie of the Year Award.
Right now Kyler Murray sits as the +225 favorite to take the award, with Josh Jacobs and Dwayne Haskins following him at +750 and +800 respectively.
I feel very comfortable in passing up on Murray at his price considering the Cardinals are currently being bet to record under 5.5 wins. This obviously doesn’t mean that Murray can’t claim the award, but with no QB OROY winner having under six wins in the last decade, it feels like betting him would be hoping that both he and the Cardinals would have to hit near their ceiling for the up-coming season. Certainly something not worth making a play on at 2-to-1.
Josh Jacobs could be in for a big year as a Raider, but there’s still competition from their backfield, making it likely that his snap share will be notably lower than the recent RB winners. I still think he’ll do well, but when compared to Kamara in 2017 and Saquon in 2018, it’ll be hard to live up to the success of those two rookie performances, and because of this it could really hinder his chances.
The most likely contender for me has to be Dwayne Haskins for the Washington Redskins. Their predicted win total is higher than that of the Cardinals and having only gone 15th in the draft, he’ll certainly have a lot lower expectations than Kyler Murray. When combining the opportunity he has as a week one starter and how well he played at college level, a ‘decent enough’ season could be all it takes for him to lock-up this year’s award.
1.25u – Dwayne Haskins Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winner @+800
My outside shot for this year’s winner is N’Keal Harry, who’s the expected WR2 for the Pats. He’s a beast standing at 6’4” and 225lbs, having also posted very good numbers at the combine. There’s a few notables currently sitting behind him in the Patriot’s WR depth chart, but if he gets off to a flyer, I guarantee all eyes will be drawn to him each week.
I know it’s difficult for receivers to claim ROY, but given that the rookie quarterbacks play for teams that are likely to struggle, and the rookie RBs aren’t likely to produce as the recent RB ROY winners have, it looks like a sharp play to take a wide reciever who could have the masses watching week-to-week. It’s a big price at +2000, but one I’ll happily take a small stab on.
0.5u – N’Keal Harry Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winner @+2000