Best Long-Odds Bets For Winning The Super Bowl

Which value shots offer the best chances of a Super Bowl payout
Sosa Kremenjas
Sun, August 25, 8:10 AM EDT

Entering the 2019 season, plenty of teams are expected to compete for the ultimate goal, Super Bowl LIV. Each and every year, a handful of teams separate themselves from the pact as “true contenders” while the remainder are thought of as longshots to make any noise as it pertains to the playoffs. Taking a look at the odds for every team, I’ve identified a few teams that could be considered “long odds” bets to win in Super Bowl LIV, leading to a potential big pot of winnings.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys currently sit at +2500, settling them in just outside of the top-10 in terms of the odds for winning Super Bowl LIV. The Cowboys have a complete roster from the top to bottom, possessing an offense that returns nearly everyone from 2018, though the return of superstar center Travis Frederick is indescribable. This season, the offense has wide receiver Amari Cooper the entire year, which will prove to be a major development as the offense completely changed for the better after acquiring Cooper. The major question mark surrounding the Cowboys’ offense is what running back Ezekiel Elliott might do concerning his contract status, though it’s hard to envision Zeke missing games. Lastly, the loss of slot receiver Cole Beasley will be neutralized by adding Randall Cobb in free agency, and the development of Michael Gallup.

Defensively, the Cowboys fielded a surefire top-5 defense in the NFL in 2018, adding even more talent to that side of the ball. The Cowboys added interior disrupter Trysten Hill and edge rusher Robert Quinn – who’ll serve a two-game suspension at the start of the season – to an already loaded defense. The defensive line is now up to par with the second and third levels of the defense, which were considered two of the strongest units in the NFL last season.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Like the Cowboys, the Steelers currently sit at +2500 odds to win Super Bowl LIV, placing them at 11th favorite in the league. Generally, the Steelers are always a threat to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, even after their disastrous 2018 season. Offensively, the team lost superstar wide receiver Antonio Brown, though the Steelers might look at that trade as addition by subtraction. Le’Veon Bell also departed by way of free agency, though his replacement in James Conner looked fantastic in 2018. Two-time Super Bowl champion Ben Roethlisberger still has a bevy of weapons to work with in wide receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Washington who looks poised for a big season entering his second-year in the league, and rookie Diontae Johnson who some have compared to Antonio Brown.

Defensively, the Steelers return much of the same lineup, which may or may not be a good thing. The major addition on the defensive side of the ball will be two new inside linebackers in draft pick Devin Bush Jr and free agent acquisition Mark Barron. The team also added Steven Nelson at cornerback, demoting struggling former first-round pick Artie Burns.

Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks are lower on the list of favorites than the previous two options, currently owning +3300 odds to win Super Bowl LIV. The Seahawks don’t possess a roster as deep as the previous two teams, making them more of a longshot than either of them. Yet still, any team that rosters quarterback Russell Wilson cannot be counted out, simply put. The magician operates on offense with an ever-improving running back in Chris Carson, and a new stable of receivers – since the retirement of Doug Baldwin – in Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf, and Jaron Brown. The offensive line remains the achilles heel of the offense, though Wilson’s mobility always minimizes their inability to effectively block every snap.

Defensively, the loss of Earl Thomas and trade of Frank Clark headline the unit, and rightfully so. Thomas is a future hall-of-famer and Clark is one of the best young pass rushers in football. The Seahawks drafted L.J. Collier in hopes of a replacement for Clark, as well as the signing of veteran Ziggy Ansah. The return of health for K.J. Wright, development of defensive tackle Poona Ford, and cornerbacks Shaquill Griffin and Tre’ Flowers, are all major improvements for the defense.

Houston Texans

The Texans are going to be the longest odds on the list as the teams beneath them don’t inspire much confidence, though the Texans currently sit at +4000 odds. The Texans do have some deficiencies on their roster, though the strong points inspire enough confidence to make up for it. It all starts with star quarterback Deshaun Watson. His ability to create time and yardage on his feet minimize the deficiencies of his offensive line, just like Russell Wilson. Watson’s trio of receivers in DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, and Keke Coutee are incredibly underrated, offering a ton of big-play potential.

Defensively, the Texans are very talented, regardless of the scenario and holdout surrounding edge Jadeveon Clowney. The Texans still possess J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus rushing the passer, Zach Cunningham and Benardrick McKinney at the second level, and Justin Reid in the secondary. The addition of cornerback Bradley Roby could also prove big for a team looking at replacing departed cornerbacks Kevin Johnson and Kareem Jackson.

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