Statschecker: Packers @ Bears - 5 Things To Consider
This week we are finally allowed to turn our attention from who will make a team’s 53-man roster to which team will win an actual game on the field. Thursday night’s match-up between Green Bay and Chicago is a tasty first game to dine on.
It happens to be a pretty important game in the race for the NFC North title. Don’t count the Vikings out of that race, but Chicago really needs to hold serve at home to avoid falling behind the pack early (pun intended). Conversely, Aaron Rodgers and company would love to put the Bears behind the race in Week 1.
Before you decide which side to back, you need to check out Oddschecker’s brand new statistics tool. There’s tons of information on each NFL game for you to consider. In this piece, we’ll give you a few highlights of what sort of data you can get your hands on at the new Statschecker site.
The road could sink Green Bay
Did you know the Packers have lost their last eight road games against NFC opponents? If you checked out our statistics site it’s one of the first things you’d read. The key, of course, is what you should do with this information.
I’m inclined to believe this piece of data is a little misleading. Mike McCarthy’s predictable offense was really poor on the road. The hope in Green Bay is that Matt LaFleur’s modern attack will supercharge the offense. Don’t rule out betting on the Packers just because of their recent road woes.
The Bears were great against the spread in 2018
Every NFL fan knows Chicago surprised the league by finishing 12-4 last season. What everyone doesn’t know is that the Bears also finished the campaign 12-5 against the spread (playoffs included).
The question you have to answer is whether or not you believe oddsmakers have stopped sleeping on Matt Nagy’s team. The Bears caught everyone off guard last season, it’s going to be much tougher for them to do that for another full campaign.
Davante Adams will be a factor
Adams is clearly Aaron Rodgers’ No. 1 wide receiver, but his production gets even better when he’s playing against the Bears at night. He’s actually scored at least one touchdown in his last three night games against Chicago.
The takeaway here is that Adams is capable of torching the Bears defense even without the support of other quality wideouts. That obviously makes him a great fantasy play. It also makes going with the over at 46 total points an attractive betting proposition.
Night is good in the Windy City for the Bears
The fact that this is a night game should absolutely factor into your betting decisions. Chicago has covered the spread in their last five night games. Expect a wild atmosphere at Soldier Field that can trouble even the likes of Aaron Rodgers.
Playing at home should be particularly helpful for Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears offense. His ability to play the quarterback positon adequately is the biggest question Chicago faces in 2019. If he plays like a Pro Bowler then Matt Nagy’s team is primed for a deep postseason run. If he regresses to the point where he no longer looks like the franchise’s signal caller of the future, the Bears might not make the playoffs at all.
Don’t sleep on the Green Bay ground game
It’s easy to focus on the Packers passing game as the key to this entire matchup. However, it would be a real mistake to forget about Aaron Jones and LaFleur’s rushing attack. Jones has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six games.
You can be sure the Bears’ coaching staff won’t be caught sleeping on Green Bay’s ability to pound the rock. Khalil Mack and company will not be lulled to sleep by Rodgers’ ability to stretch the field with his arm.
There are a ton of places to find information to help you make the right NFL bet, but Oddschecker has taken things to a new level with its new statistics site. Making a wager without consulting the mountain of data at your fingertips is a great way to lose money.