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Statschecker highlights five important factors to consider for Monday Night Football
ANALYSIS

This Monday Night Football matchup looked a lot more interesting before Sam Darnold was ruled out due to mononucleosis. That doesn’t mean there isn’t betting value left to be uncovered. If anything, the massive movement of the line since the Darnold news broke gives you a better chance to really cash in on this game.

As always, you need to check out our Statschecker site for the game before you make your final wagers. The tool is full of helpful information that you need to know before risking your hard-earned money. In this piece, we’ll walk you through five of the more interesting things you can learn from the helpful site.

1. The Jets are bad at home

Even with a healthy Darnold in the fold, New York has struggled mightily to protect its home turf recently. The fact that the Jets have lost their last six home games should give you serious reservations about backing Mean Green in this one.

Then again, oddsmakers aren’t asking New York to win this game. They’re only asking Adam Gase’s team to keep things close. At the time of this writing, the Browns have ballooned to 6.5-point favorites. It’s up to you to decide whether or not the pendulum has swung too far towards Cleveland.

2. David Njoku is a weapon

Njoku isn’t the first guy you think about on the Browns offense, but he’s really productive in games that Cleveland is supposed to win. In fact, he’s found the end zone in each of the Browns’ last four games as favorites.

CJ Mosley will miss this game due to injury for the Jets which will leave a real hole in the middle of the New York defense. That’s just where Njoku is going to work. Don’t be surprised if Baker Mayfield looks for him early and often on Monday night.

3. The favorites dominate this matchup

One of the stranger facts about the recent history between the Browns and Jets is that the favorite has covered the spread nine times in a row. That’s a pretty incredible number when you think about it.

Backing a road favorite to cover is always a bit risky, but it seems to be the right play given the history of this matchup. It’ll be up to Freddie Kitchens and his staff to concoct a game plan good enough to win by more than a touchdown under the bright lights of New York City.

4. The Jets are really bad against the spread

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Jets are a dismal 5-12 against the spread. In case you are wondering, that’s good for dead last in the NFL.

Most of those failures to cover have come with Darnold under center. The idea that the Jets will play better without their franchise quarterback doesn’t seem to make a lot of sense. Think long and hard about this trend before you decide how you want to bet this game.

5. The Browns know how to score

Tennessee was able to stifle Cleveland’s offense in Week 1, but that’s unlikely to happen to Mayfield and his teammates two weeks in a row. The Browns are an impressive 9-8 in favor of the over since the start of the 2018 season. That’s good for seventh place in the league.

The biggest question in this game is whether or not the Browns offensive line can give Mayfield enough time to throw. The Jets defense may be built up, but Quinnen Williams and his fellow defensive lineman can get up field and make plays. Cleveland may have to leave their backs in more often than they’d like to keep their quarterback up right in this one.

There are going to be opportunities for Cleveland to make big plays down the field though. Odell Beckham Jr. could break out in a Browns uniform against the Jets on Monday Night Football. We’re very confident about Cleveland’s ability to score points in this one. We’re unsure if the Jets can hold up their end of the bargain.

Back the Browns big

This is one of the easiest bets of the weekend. If the Browns’ offensive line gives Mayfield any support at all he’s going to carve up this Jets defense. New York doesn’t have the firepower to stay competitive in that sort of game. We like Cleveland big on Monday night. Take the Browns to cover.

By Rucker Haringey

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