NFL Week 3: Early Picks
The first two weeks of the NFL season have lived up to the hype. Week 2 featured blow outs, shutouts and thrilling finishes which leaves room for some clouded judgement on the upcoming week’s lines.
As expected, some of the early lines are overreacting to the results of Week 2. Here are some games you may find potential profit in before the lines move.
The Atlanta Falcons (1-1) bounced back in a big way on Sunday night, defeating the Philadelphia Eagles 24-20.
Wide receiver Julio Jones showcased why he’s the best in the business, catching five passes for 105 yards and two touchdowns. Jones came up clutch scoring the game-winning 54-yard touchdown on 4th and 3 in the fourth quarter right before the two-minute warning.
Atlanta’s defense gave Philadelphia trouble all night forcing two interceptions, a fumble and three sacks.
The Indianapolis Colts (1-1) picked up their first win of the season with a come from behind 19-17 divisional win over the Tennessee Titans.
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett was efficient completing 17-of-28 passes for 146 yards, three touchdowns and one interception.
Roll with the Falcons (+124) to pull out the upset road win. Atlanta enters as the underdog because of the struggles they have on the road, but I’d anticipate that line moving more towards even during the week.
Atlanta is the better team and the road troubles aren’t enough of a reason to convince me that this offense will slow down in Indy.
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (ML) @ +124
The reigning Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (2-0) have barely broken sweat to begin the 2019 season. New England dominated the disgraceful Miami Dolphins 43-0 and have allowed just three points through the first two games.
The Patriots defense were playing on another planet totaling seven sacks and four interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns.
Wide receiver Antonio Brown did the two things he does best on Sunday, make headlines and play football. Brown returned to the field for the first time since Week 16 last season and caught four passes for 56 yards and one touchdown.
Judging this line prior to New York’s Monday night matchup with the Cleveland Browns is no easy task. Yet, I’m rolling with Jets blind at (+17.5) and if it increases I’ll take those extra points.
The Jets are massive underdogs with the anticipation that quarterback Sam Darnold will miss another game with Mono, as well as star defensive players C.J. Mosley and Quinnen Williams. However, if Mosley and Williams can suit up, New York should cover despite the possibility of Darnold missing time.
Pick: New York Jets (+17.5) @ -110
The Buffalo Bills moved to (2-0) after a New York sweep of both the Jets and Giants after defeating the latter 28-14.
Quarterback Josh Allen had himself a day completing 19-of-33 passes for 253 yards and one touchdown, adding seven carries for 21 yards and one touchdown.
The Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) dropped their home opener to the San Francisco 49ers 41-17.
Cincinnati had serious offensive struggles, yet it didn’t even come close to matching the troubles the Bengals had on defense. Defensively, the Bengals allowed 572 yards of total offense, including 259 team rushing yards.
Offensively, the Bengals allowed four sacks while quarterback Andy Dalton completed 26-of-42 for 311 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.
I’m rolling with the Buffalo Bills at (-6), and I’d expect to trend upwards of seven points. Either way, I’m taking Buffalo to exploit a vulnerable Cincinnati run defense with Allen’s ability to make plays outside the pocket and rookie Devin Singletary in the ground game