NFL Week 4: Early Picks

Get on these early lines before they're gone!
Stephen Rodriguez
Mon, September 23, 10:59 AM EDT

After three weeks of action, the NFL season has started to take form.

Of course, there is still plenty which is unpredictable with the amount of young or rookie quarterbacks playing, but this weekend gave the public a good idea of where teams stand.

Here’s a look at some early lines that are set due to an overreaction from Week 3’s results:

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) @ Denver Broncos, 4:25 PM:

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) picked up their first win of the season with a 20-7 victory over the Tennessee Titans.

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew lead the charge completing 20-of-30 for 204 yards and two touchdowns.

The Jacksonville defense was dominant, sacking Tennessee nine times and forcing a fumble.

The Denver Broncos’ disappointing start to the season continued in Green Bay as the Broncos moved to 0-3 after losing 27-16 to the Packers.

Running back Phillip Lindsay was the spark plug for Denver carrying the ball 21 times for 81 yards and two touchdowns, adding four receptions on five targets for 49 yards.

Quarterback Joe Flacco was sacked six times and struggled completing 20-of-29 for 213 yards and one interception.

Take the Jaguars with the points, and I’d even sprinkle some on the moneyline. I’m a big believer of the Minshew magic in Jacksonville and the Jags defense, plus the Broncos are trending toward a downward spiral.

 

Pick: Jaguars (+3)

Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) @ Detroit Lions, 1:00 PM:

 

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes outdueled Lamar Jackson as the Kansas City Chiefs moved to 3-0, edging out the Baltimore Ravens 33-28.

The reigning NFL MVP showcased why he’s the best in the league completing 27-of-37 for 374 yards and three touchdowns.

Running back LeSean McCoy took over the role as lead back for Kansas City rushing eight times for 54 yards and one touchdown, adding three receptions for 26 yards and a touchdown.

The Detroit Lions (2-0-1) pulled out the 27-24 upset win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Detroit’s defense and special teams was the difference in this matchup coming up with three sacks, two recovered fumbles, and returned a kick-off for a touchdown.

Wide receiver Marvin Jones Jr. was the Lions’ playmaker catching six of nine receptions for 101 yards and one touchdown.

Detroit may have picked up a big road win, but I can’t see them having enough juice to outduel Kansas City. I expect the line to trend up towards nine points by Sunday, so I’d recommend getting in the number at its lowest.

 

Pick: Chiefs (-6.5)

New England Patriots (-7) @ Buffalo Bills, 1:00 PM:

 

The New England Patriots improved to 3-0 after yet again stomping over the competition, defeating the New York Jets 30-14.

Quarterback Tom Brady was stellar as usual completing 28-of-42 for 306 yards and two touchdowns.

New England’s defense continued to cause chaos sacking New York five times and forcing an interception.

The Buffalo Bills (3-0) took care of business in the team’s home opener with a 21-17 win over the Cincinnati Bengals.

Quarterback Josh Allen made it happen for Buffalo completing 23-of-36 for 243 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, adding nine carries for 46 yards.

Take the Patriots to cover this seven-point spread. New England is a single-digit favorite for the first time in two weeks, and that’s large in part to Buffalo being undefeated.

Although the Bills have been one of the league’s biggest surprises, my anticipation is that the Patriots and head coach Bill Belichick will slow them down and come out with a convincing win.

 

Pick: Patriots (-7)

Stephen Rodriguez
TinoRodriguez__
Expert handicapper for both NBA and NCAAB with years of experience in the business
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
13
Losses
15
Push
0
ROI
-11.62%
0Betslip

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