Statschecker: Cowboys At Saints: 5 Things To Consider

Statschecker highlights five important factors to consider for Sunday Night Football
Rucker Haringey
Sun, September 29, 5:46 AM EDT

The absence of Drew Brees from Sunday Night’s big match-up might take a little luster off the contest between Dallas and New Orleans, but there is still plenty for fans to be excited about. In particular, this game could prove to be a barometer of whether or not the Cowboys are really the class of the NFC.

It’s a little bit of a surprise that oddsmakers have only installed Dak Prescott and company as three point favorites. The Saints’ offense just isn’t the same with Teddy Bridgewater at the helm. He has the reputation as being one of the best backup quarterbacks in football, but his play this year hasn’t been good enough to justify that label.

Of course, New Orleans still gets to trot Alvin Kamara out onto the field on Sunday. Without Brees on the field, Sean Payton and his coaching staff heap even more pressure on their star running back. If the Saints have any chance at all of springing the upset, they will need Kamara to vastly outperform Ezekiel Elliott.

As always, you should make sure to check out our statschecker site for the game before you finalize your wagers. It’s the best place on the internet to find every bit of information you need to gain a valuable edge over the betting public. Here are five intriguing facts you can find on the site that can give you a sense of what you’re missing if you don’t check statschecker out on a regular basis.

  1. The Saints are dangerous underdogs

New Orleans hasn’t come into many games during the Payton era as underdogs. However, they’ve been really good when the odds are stacked against them. The Saints have won four of their last five games when wearing the underdog label.

It’s fair to point out that Brees has been involved in most of those games. This offense is prolific when he’s healthy and playing at a high level. The ceiling of the unit goes down significantly when it’s forced to depend on Bridgewater.

  1. Bridgewater isn’t the only relevant Saints quarterback

Taysom Hill has found the end zone in three of his team’s last four home games. The Cowboys’ defensive coaching staff needs to prepare their team to play significant snaps against Hill as well. Sunday night’s game could look a lot more like a time-share at quarterback than a lot of fans believe.

  1. The Cowboys are fast starters

Dallas’ offense has played with a lot of swagger this season. Expect that to start from the opening whistle on Sunday night. The Cowboys have won the first quarter in eight of their last night games.

The Saints will hope their raucous home crowd will give them an early edge, but that’s far from a certainty. Don’t rule out the possibility of Prescott and Amari Cooper hooking up for some big plays early in the contest.

  1. Dallas is terrific against the spread

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Cowboys sport an impressive record of 12-8-1 against the spread. That’s good for 5th place in the NFL during that stretch. That’s a really significant statistic considering how much the betting public likes to back “America’s Team.”

To put it bluntly, it should give you real pause before you lay hard-earned money down on New Orleans to cover on Sunday night. If Dallas regularly overcomes the spread despite being overrated by bettors, it must mean they are a high quality team.

  1. The Cowboys are going to score points

Dallas hasn’t exactly faced a murderer’s row of defenses this season, but it’s hard to argue with the results that offensive coordinator Kellen Moore has gotten from his troops. The Cowboys are averaging an impressive 32.3 points per game through three games.

The Saints have a decent defense, but it isn’t anything spectacular. They might be able to hold the Cowboys offense down a little better than other teams have this season, but they’re not going to shut Prescott and company down. It would be a major surprise if Dallas doesn’t find a way to flirt with the 30-point mark in this one.

Cowboys deserve your money in this one

Typically, I like to shy away from backing Dallas because of the public’s propensity to push the line too far in their favor. That isn’t the case in this game though. Three points just isn’t enough for the Saints without Brees to make their offense go.

Bridgewater has been shockingly bad this season. The Cowboys defense is going to feast on his inability to push the ball down field. Put your money on Dallas and tease the line as far as you dare. I wouldn’t hesitate to move it all the way to 6.5 if you’re looking for a bigger payout.

Rucker Haringey
RuckerHaringey
Sports journalist with an eye for the statistical side of betting. If there's an edge in the numbers, Rucker will find it
Feb 2020
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