Week 5 Thursday Night Football is one for the NFL historians out there, as the Patriots host the Giants in a rematch of the two famous Super Bowls from 2007 and 2011. However, the situation is very different now, with the Patriots riding high at 5-0 and the Giants somewhat limping to 2-3 and trying to bed in a rookie QB. This game will be steeped in history but may not be as fun to watch as the one in Seattle last week was.
New York Giants @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, 8:20pm ET Thursday October 10th, 2019
1u – New England Patriots -16.5 @ -113
- The Patriots are 2-1 ATS in games where they are favored by more than 10
- Per statschecker, the Patriots are 8-3 ATS at home in the last two seasons.
At what point do you simply stop questioning whether to bet the Patriots covering these monster spreads. They have now done it in Week 2 in Miami, Week 5 in Washington, and should have done it Week 3 hosting the Jets had they not given up silly touchdowns on fumbled punts and interception returns. When the spread is 10 or more this season the Patriots are 2-1 and should be 3-0 really.
This game has a lot of angles favoring the Patriots. We have the revenge factor of this the team that defeated Bill Belichick and Tom Brady in two Super Bowls, which must still sting. You then have a rookie quarterback playing on TNF against the best defense in the league right now. Then finally you just have a rookie quarterback having to face a Belichick scheme, which historically has not been good for the quarterback and pretty good for Belichick and the Patriots.
1u – New York Giants Under 12.5 Total Points @ -113
- The Patriots defense has allowed two offensive touchdowns through five games this season
- The Giants managed just 12 points at home to the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday
Betting the under on the team total of the teams facing the Patriots might be new favorite game. This Patriots defense is performing beyond even Patriots fans wildest dreams. After years of shootouts and Tom brady having to sling the Patriots to victory it is refreshing to see defense dominate and the Patriots just squash opposing offenses.
I was debating taking the game total as the under in this one, but I just have an inkling the Patriots are going to go for the throat, and we might see them score 40. However, I see the Giants struggling to find the end zone so would need five field goals to push their team total over.