NFL Week 7: Early Picks

Here's our top picks from the early lines for week 7!
Stephen Rodriguez
Mon, October 14, 9:16 AM EDT

Six weeks of the NFL season are in the books and it was yet another successful week for the underdog.

Ten underdogs won against the spread with nine of those resulting as outright winners.

An over-reaction is expected when the Week 7 lines open.

Take a look at some early lines that may move after the dust settles from Week 6’s results:

Los Angeles Chargers @ Tennessee Titans (-2), 4:05 PM:

 

The Los Angeles Chargers’ struggles continued on Sunday night as they lost for the fourth time in the last five weeks, and dropped a second straight game, falling to the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-17.

Los Angeles (2-4) was sleepwalking for most of the game as they were held scoreless for the first three quarters before scoring all 17 points in the fourth quarter.

Tight end Hunter Henry returned from injury and was the biggest bright spot for Los Angeles. Henry totaled eight receptions for 100 yards and two touchdowns.

The Tennessee Titans fell to (2-4) after being shut out on the road in Denver, losing to the Broncos 16-0.

With no points scored, it’s hard to steer towards a positive for Tennessee. The Titans’ offense grew cold with quarterback Marcus Mariota under center so the team made a switch to back up Ryan Tannehill, although neither was very effective.

Mariota completed 7-of-18 for 63 yards and two interceptions while getting sacked three times. Tannehill was more efficient completing 13-of-16 for 144 yards and one interception while getting sacked four times.

Roll with the Chargers at (+2). Despite their recent struggles, Los Angeles’ offense is too good for them to stay down this long.

Meanwhile, the Titans have far too many question marks and weaknesses for them to be considered favorites in my opinion.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals, 1:00 PM:

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) dropped a second consecutive game, falling at home to the New Orleans Saints 13-6.

Jacksonville’s offense was stuck in the mud against the Saints. Running back Leonard Fournette had the most production rushing for 72 yards on 20 carries.

Quarterback Gardner Minshew was off his game completing just 14-of-29 passes for 163 yards and one interception.

The Cincinnati Bengals (0-6) failed to see a win in yet another week of action, losing to the Baltimore Ravens 23-17.

Brandon Wilson returned the opening kickoff 92 yards for a Cincinnati touchdown, but failed to find the endzone again until under two minutes remaining in the game.

Quarterback Andy Dalton rushed in the team’s only offensive touchdown from two yards out and completed 21-of-39 for 235 yards and one touchdown.

On a brighter note, the Bengals managed to cover the 11-point spread with Dalton’s last-minute score.

I like the Jaguars to cover this spread at (-3). The Bengals can’t seem to get anything going on the offensive side of the ball, and things won’t get easier against the always-tough Jacksonville defense.

Although the offense ran dry at home, my expectation is that Minshew Mania will rise again.

Houston Texans (+1) @ Indianapolis Colts, 4:05 PM:

 

The Houston Texans (4-2) put the entire league on notice with one of the most impressive upsets this season, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 31-24.

Quarterback Deshaun Watson was sensational as a dual threat completing 30-of-42 for 280 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, adding 10 carries for 42 yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Running back Carlos Hyde was a workhorse in the ground game rushing 26 times for 116 yards and one touchdown.

Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts (3-2) return from the bye week with an opportunity to jump the Texans in the AFC North standings.

Last time out, Indianapolis went on the road and ran past the Chiefs 19-13. The Colts kept Kansas City off the field and controlled the game with their ground and pound style of offense lead by a dominant offensive line and running back Marlon Mack.

Mack carried the ball 29 times for 132 yards. Meanwhile, quarterback Jacoby Brissett ran in the team’s only touchdown of the game on a one-yard scramble.

Brissett finished 18-of-29 passing for 151 yards and one interception, adding six carries for nine yards and the score.

Take the Texans (+1). I’ll even sprinkle some on the moneyline (+117). This early line is a bit confusing due to the result of Houston’s big win on Sunday.

However, the line makes a bit of sense with this being an AFC North divisional game, the Colts playing at home and coming off the bye.

Yet, with that being said, I’m jumping all over the Texans as the underdog for the second straight week.

By Stephen Rodriguez

Stephen Rodriguez
TinoRodriguez__
Expert handicapper for both NBA and NCAAB with years of experience in the business
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
13
Losses
15
Push
0
ROI
-11.62%
0Betslip

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