Week 7 sees the NFL bring us an AFC West contest between the surging Denver Broncos, who have won their last two, and a stuttering Kansas City Chiefs team, who have lost their last two. However, two weeks ago this game would have taken a very different look when the Chiefs were 4-0 and the Broncos were 0-4.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Empower Field at Mile High, 8:20pm ET Thursday October 17th, 2019
1u – Kansas City Chiefs -3 @ -105
- Per statschecker, the Kansas City Chiefs are 7-3-1 ATS on the road in the last two seasons
- Per statschecker, the Denver Broncos are 4-7 ATS at home in the last two seasons.
This pick should not feel this difficult. This is the Chiefs and the Broncos we are talking about. Yes, it is in Mile High, and the Chiefs are not at full strength, but they should still have more than enough to cover the spread here. The Broncos are 2-1 ATS at home this season, but both of those wins have come against extremely mediocre offenses in the form of the Bears and Titans. The Chiefs offense, even with injuries, is far and above both of those offenses, and should cause the Chiefs plenty of issues. For the Broncos to stay within three they are likely going to need to score over 20 points, something they have done just once this season.
1u – Kansas City Chiefs Over 25.5 Total Points @ -117
- The Chiefs have scored 26 points or more in four of their six games this season
- The Chiefs scored 24 points last week despite having an anonymously low 20 minutes of possession
This game looks like a trap. A TNF game in Denver, with the Chiefs banged up. However, let’s look at the Broncos and which offenses of note they have faced so far this season. The Raiders offense may actually be competent, they scored 24, the Green Bay offense is competent, they scored 27, and the Jaguars offense has been mixed, they scored 26. The other three games? The Bears, Chargers and Titans. All three of those offenses are worse than questionable. This Chiefs offense is much better than those six offenses and should be able to get close to 30 in this one.
By Ben Rolfe