Seven weeks of the NFL season are in the books and two teams remain unbeaten, the New England Patriots and the San Francisco 49ers.
Along with those two highs are two lows as both the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins remain winless.
Last Sunday my cold streak continued. My parlay went a discouraging 1-of-4 with my only win coming courtesy of Minshew Mania and the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The two underdog picks – the Houston Texans and Atlanta Falcons - were over before the game even really started.
Meanwhile, my over play for the New York Giants/Arizona Cardinals was a bad beat, falling short by one point of covering.
In Week 7, only three underdogs won outright with two others winning against the spread.
I’m going to ride that trend and roll with some favorites for this week’s parlay. Check out my four-team parlay ticket with good value:
Four Team Parlay Ticket:
Indianapolis Colts Spread (-5), -110
New York Jets Moneyline, +250
San Francisco 49ers Moneyline, -244
Green Bay Packers Spread (-3.5), -110
Total Odds: +1698
Potential Payout: $10 to win $169.84
Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts (-5), 1:00 PM:
The Indianapolis Colts (4-2) returned from the bye week and picked up right where they left off.
Indianapolis took over sole possession of first place in the AFC South with a 30-23 win over the Texans.
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett led the way with an impressive performance, completing 26-of-39 for 326 yards and four touchdowns.
The Denver Broncos (2-5) snapped a two-game winning streak, losing to the Kansas City Chiefs 30-6.
Denver took a surprising 6-0 lead in the first quarter on a Royce Freeman one-yard touchdown run but failed to find the endzone again.
The Broncos struggled to keep the quarterback upright, allowing nine sacks and a lost fumble.
Take the Colts to cover the spread (-5) @ -110. Denver showed they are in full tank mode after trading away wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders to the San Francisco this week.
My expectation is that the Colts will run the rock, play stout defense and handle the Broncos with ease by at least a touchdown.
New York Jets (+250) @ Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 PM:
The Jaguars (3-4) got back on track and snapped a two-game losing streak, defeating the Cincinnati Bengals 27-17.
Running back Leonard Fournette carried the load with 29 carries for 131 yards, adding two receptions for 14 yards. Fournette ranks second in the NFL for rushing with 715 yards this season.
The New York Jets (1-6) forgot to show up on Monday night and were shutout at home by the Patriots 33-0.
New York’s offense was nonexistent as quarterback Sam Darnold had one of his worst starts in his young career. Darnold completed 11-of-32 for 86 yards and four interceptions, adding a lost fumble.
I’m rolling with the New York moneyline (+250). The Jets are my only underdog pick this week and after an awful performance, it’s hard to make a case for them.
Nonetheless, here I am taking a gamble on New York bouncing back in a low-scoring game highlighted by both teams’ running backs Fournette and Le’Veon Bell.
Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers (-244), 4:05 PM:
The 49ers (6-0) remained as the NFC’s only unbeaten team defeating the Washington Redskins 9-0.
San Francisco battled through the rain, led by a strong defensive effort and three 20-yard Robbie Gould field goals.
The Carolina Panthers (4-2) return from the bye week and travel to the Bay Area after picking up a fourth straight win, defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37-26.
Running back Christian McCaffrey made plays as usual, rushing for 31 yards and one touchdown on 22 carries, adding four receptions for 26 yards and another score.
I like the 49ers (-244) to remain undefeated. But I’m taking them on the moneyline to play it safe from a bad beat.
Carolina is unbeaten with rookie Kyle Allen at quarterback (4-0), and have an MVP candidate at running back, so I could see them keeping it close.
Yet, with that said, the 49ers are clicking on all cylinders and I’m not rolling the dice against them.
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 PM:
The Green Bay Packers (6-1) won a third consecutive game, handling the Oakland Raiders 42-24.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers put on a clinic, totaling six touchdowns as he completed 26-of-31 for 429 yards, five touchdowns and a perfect passer rating, adding two rushes for six yards and another score.
The Chiefs (5-2) snapped a two-game losing streak and took care of business defeating the Broncos 30-6.
Kansas City lost far more than they won on Thursday night as reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes left the game in the first half with a dislocated right kneecap. Back-up quarterback Matt Moore was serviceable in his absence, completing 10-of-19 for 117 yards and one touchdown.
Take the Packers to cover the spread at (-3.5) @ -106. I took this game early when the line was at three points and I feel even more confident to press my bet with the line moving upwards.
Rodgers is coming off his best game of the season and without Mahomes, my expectation is that Kansas City will struggle to keep up.