Week 9 NFL Parlay
Eight weeks of the NFL season have come and gone and most of the league’s layout has stayed the same week-to-week.
There are two remaining unbeatens, one from the AFC and NFC; the New England Patriots and the San Francisco 49ers.
Week 8 saw six underdogs cover against the spread with only two winnings outright - the Los Angeles Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles.
My last parlay had a good run going 2-for-4. The San Francisco 49ers cruised to a near 40-point win over the Panthers and the Green Bay Packers covered the spread in Kansas City.
The Indianapolis Colts won outright but failed to cover the five-point spread against the Denver Broncos. Meanwhile, my only underdog pick - the New York Jets - fell short on the road to Jacksonville Jaguars.
I’m going to continue riding the trend of favorites in this week’s parlay. Check out my four-team parlay ticket with good value:
Four Team Parlay Ticket (Best Single Odds Listed):
Indianapolis Colts Moneyline, -115
Cleveland Browns Spread (-3), -120
Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline, +110
Green Bay Packers Spread (-3), -127
Best Parlay Odds: +1158
Potential Payout: $10 to win $125.81
The Colts (5-2) edged out a third straight win, defeating the Broncos 15-13 on an Adam Vinatieri 51-yard field goal.
Running back Marlon Mack was the lone Colt to find the endzone, rushing for 76 yards on 19 carries and one touchdown.
The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-4) recovered from a 14-0 first-quarter deficit and defeated the winless Miami Dolphins 27-14.
Running back James Conner ran his way to 145 yards on 23 carries and one touchdown. However, Conner exited the game with an injured AC joint and is questionable against the Colts.
Take the Colts to win outright on the moneyline at (-115). The spread is currently sitting at one-point which essentially makes this game a pick em’.
All seven of the Colts games this season have been decided by one possession, and I don’t see this game being any different.
Nonetheless, Pittsburgh is banged up and I see the Colts finding a way to pull out the win.
The Broncos continued their downward spiral in Indianapolis, falling to the Colts 17-16 on a 51-yard field goal as time expired. Denver (2-6) lost a second straight game despite a stellar defensive outing that featured four sacks and a recovered fumble.
The Cleveland Browns (2-5) ran into the undefeated powerhouse that is the New England Patriots and dropped a third consecutive game, losing 27-13.
Quarterback Baker Mayfield struggled, throwing his league-high 12th interception of the season, and was sacked five times while completing 20-of-31 for 194 yards and added one touchdown.
Roll with the Browns to cover the spread (-3). Denver’s issues go from bad to worse as the team will be starting its sixth different starting quarterback since 2017 in backup Brandon Allen.
Cleveland may have struggled over the last three weeks, but they are far too good on paper for me to see them losing or not covering this game.
The Jaguars defense dominated the Jets totaling eight sacks and three interceptions as Jacksonville (4-4) picked up a second straight win defeating New York 29-15.
Minshew Mania was on full display as rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew had himself a day, completing 22-of-34 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, adding eight carries for 28 yards.
The Houston Texans battled back and improved to 5-3 with a come-from-behind 27-24 win over the Oakland Raiders.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson was sensational, completing 27-of-39 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, adding 10 carries for 46 yards.
Despite the win, Houston lost former Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt with a season-ending pectoral injury.
I’m taking the Jaguars on the moneyline at (+110). These AFC South rivals face off overseas in London.
In Week 2, Houston won this matchup 13-12 after the Jaguars failed to convert a two-point conversion with under a minute remaining.
This time around, my thought is that Jacksonville will be able to take advantage of an injured Houston defense.
The Packers (7-1) kept the ball rolling and won a fourth consecutive game, defeating the Chiefs 31-24.
Running back Aaron Jones had himself a day, leading the Packers in rushing and receiving with 13 carries for 67 yards, adding seven receptions for 159 yards and two touchdowns.
The Los Angeles Chargers (3-5) snapped a three-game losing streak in thrilling fashion, defeating the Chicago Bears 17-16 on a missed field goal as time expired.
Los Angeles’ offense was stagnant for the most part. Quarterback Phillip Rivers completed 19-of-29 for 201 yards with one touchdown and one interception.
Take the Packers to cover the spread at (-3). All five of the Chargers’ losses have been by either three or seven points.
With that said, Green Bay’s backfield of Aaron’s (Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones) have been elite, and they’ll lead the Packers to win by a touchdown.
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