When flicking through the schedule at the start of the year It is likely many peopled laughed at this matchup as another bad NFL Thursday Night Football game. However, it turns out that this game might be one of the most important of Week 10. With the Kansas City Chiefs at 6-3 and the AFC in general a bit of a mess the Oakland Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers have a lot to play for in this matchup. Which team can come out on top and get the advantage in the AFC wildcard race?
Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
RingCentral Coliseum, 8:20pm ET Thursday November 7th, 2019
1u – Oakland Raiders +1 @ -110
- Per Statschecker, the Oakland Raiders are 3-1 ATS at home this season
- Per Statschecker, the Los Angeles Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS as favorites in 2019
I really did not think I would be picking the Raiders as often as I have this season. However, while the defense has had its troubles, the Raiders offense has really stepped up, despite a lack of recognised weapons. In designated home games this season the Raiders have really impressed, and they have the chance to all over again against the Chargers this week. This game is essentially a pick ‘em for me, so to get the Raiders plus a point at home is a bonus.
Had the Chargers not surprised the NFL world against the Packers last week, then this line is likely Oakland -3. While last week was no fluke from the Chargers, I do believe they come back down to earth with a bump this week, overlooking a divisional team they likely expected to be a relatively simple W a few months back.
1u – Oakland Raiders Over 23.5 Total Points @ -121
- The Oakland Raiders have scored 24 or more points in their last five games
- The Raiders rank fifth in the league in offensive EPA/play
I have already told you my love for the Raiders offense above, and this play is just reinforcing it. My YPP metric has the Raiders to score 27 points in this game, which is a nice cushion for the line on offer. The Chargers defense is coming off a big win on a short week, and I think the Raiders can catch them napping a little in this one.