Statschecker: 49ers At Seahawks: 5 Things To Consider

Statschecker highlights five important factors to consider before placing your bets on Sunday Night Football
Rucker Haringey
Sun, December 29, 11:15 AM EST

The last Sunday Night football match-up of the regular season projects to be a terrific game. The 49ers and Seahawks have been two of the best teams in the NFC this year and they’re only one game apart in the NFC West standings. San Francisco has the slight edge with a mark of 12-4, but they’ve very aware of just how good Seattle is.

No one should be surprised to learn that the 49ers are 3.5-point favorites. Their combination of a tough-minded defense with an explosive offense have given opponents fits all season long. There may be questions about how Jimmy Garoppolo will perform in the playoffs, but he’s done almost everything his team has needed from him during the regular season.

Of course, Russell Wilson is still going to be the best quarterback in this game. He’s been the best signal caller in the NFL outside of Lamar Jackson this year. The 49ers’ coaching staff will spend tons of time this week trying to figure out how to stop him.

If you want to make some money on the last game of the regular season, you need to check out all of the information available on our exclusive Statschecker site. This piece will give you five interesting facts about the game, but you need to hit up the site yourself to extract the most value possible. Without further delay, here are five interesting things you need to know about the big finale on Sunday night.

  1. The Seahawks are just average against the spread

It’s natural to get caught up in the idea that Russell Wilson makes the Seahawks an elite betting team. That’s simply not true. Seattle is only 7-7-1 against the spread this year. That puts them at No. 17 in the NFL.

In other words, if you want to back the Seahawks in this game, you should go ahead and roll with them via the money line. The spread probably won’t help them win you any cash on Sunday night.

  1. The 49ers are elite on the road

San Francisco has a terrific formula for winning games away from home. They play great defense and try to control the ball with their offense.
The real surprise is just how well they’ve executed that plan in 2019. Garoppolo has piloted the team to 6-1 mark away from home on the year. Seattle fans will do their best to win the game with their energy on Sunday night, but the 49ers won’t wilt under that pressure.

  1. San Francisco should score

A quick look at the season statistics make it pretty clear that Garoppolo and his offense should put up a fair number of points on Sunday night. The ‘Niners come in averaging an eye-popping 30.2 points per contest.

This also isn’t the Seahawks defense of yesteryear. The Legion of Boom is a distant memory in the Pacific Northwest. Bobby Wagener and company have given up 24.8 points per game on the year. Contrary to what you might think, this game has shootout potential.

  1. The Seahawks have been weak at home

Seattle is headed to the playoffs on the back of their terrific road record. The ugly truth for Pete Carroll is that his squad is only 4-3 at home this season. A loss to San Francisco would leave the Seahawks with a .500 record at home during the regular season.

That isn’t the fans’ fault. Instead, it’s a product of Seattle’s weak defense. They’ve given up far too many points to mediocre offenses on the year. Wilson is capable of performing magic, but they put him under too much pressure at home.

  1. 19.3 is a key number

The 49ers defense hasn’t been super consistent this season, but they’ve still managed to limit opponents to just 19.3 points per game. If they can hold that number up on Sunday night, they will put their team in great position to score a big road win.

Wilson and the Seattle offense will fancy their chances to light up the scoreboard. The battle up front will go a long way towards determining this game’s outcome. The Seahawks’ offensive line may struggle mightily against San Francisco’s talented defensive front.

Don’t trust Garoppolo

In close games like this we like to favor the side with the better quarterback on their roster. With all due respect to Garoppolo, he’s not in Wilson’s league at this point in their respective careers.

As such, you should take the points and go with the Seahawks. As I mentioned earlier, going with Seattle to win the game outright is an even better wager. Look for Garoppolo to struggle in a big spot. Wilson won’t suffer the same fate. He’ll make just enough plays with his legs and arm to get Seattle their 12th win of the regular season.

Rucker Haringey
RuckerHaringey
Sports journalist with an eye for the statistical side of betting. If there's an edge in the numbers, Rucker will find it
Feb 2020
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